Norfolk State Spartans vs Virginia Cavaliers prediction

The eagle's three picks

Picks are made up to two hours before kick off and then locked, so there are none for this game.

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Virginia Cavaliers 100% and Norfolk State Spartans 0%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Virginia Cavaliers won 4 of their last 5 and Norfolk State Spartans won 0 of their last 2. Virginia Cavaliers come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Scoring

   Virginia Cavaliers score 29.7 points a game and let in 18.5. Norfolk State Spartans score 10.0 and let in 45.5. Their recent games average 48.2 and 55.5 points in total, and the market line is 55.5.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Virginia +3.5 wins if Virginia win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.