North Carolina Tar Heels vs Clemson Tigers prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

North Carolina +18.5

74% chanceFair price -2851 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

North Carolina to win

26% chancePrice +295+2.7% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Clemson Tigers 74% and North Carolina Tar Heels 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Clemson Tigers the favourite at -375.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Clemson Tigers won 3 of their last 5 and North Carolina Tar Heels won 2 of their last 5. Clemson Tigers come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Clemson Tigers won 2 of their last 6 games at home. North Carolina Tar Heels won 2 of their last 6 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Clemson Tigers score 27.3 points a game and let in 23.8. North Carolina Tar Heels score 19.3 and let in 23.0. Their recent games average 51.0 and 42.3 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 1 meeting, Clemson Tigers won 1 and North Carolina Tar Heels won 0. The last one ended North Carolina Tar Heels 10, Clemson Tigers 38.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   North Carolina +18.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Clemson +3.5 wins if Clemson win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.