North Texas Mean Green vs Texas State Bobcats prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 77.5 points

74% chanceFair price -2841 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

North Texas to win

37% chanceFair price +1741 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Texas State Bobcats 63% and North Texas Mean Green 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Texas State Bobcats won 4 of their last 5 and North Texas Mean Green won 3 of their last 5. Texas State Bobcats come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Texas State Bobcats won 4 of their last 6 games at home. North Texas Mean Green won 5 of their last 7 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Texas State Bobcats score 32.2 points a game and let in 31.1. North Texas Mean Green score 43.3 and let in 30.2. Their recent games average 63.3 and 73.5 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Under 77.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Texas St +3.5 wins if Texas St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.