PredictionsUnited KingdomNorwich City vs Bolton Wanderers
ChampionshipSun 20 Sept, 13:30 United Kingdom time

Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers prediction

Carrow Road

Norwich CityHome
1.86 : 0.95
expected goals
Bolton WanderersAway
58%Norwich City
24%Draw
18%Bolton
Eagle safe pickNorwich City or Draw
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers is Norwich City to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Norwich City or Draw at 2/9.

Prediction
Norwich City to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Norwich City 1.9, Bolton Wanderers 0.9
Best bet
Norwich City or Draw at 2/9
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Norwich City or Draw
82% chanceFair price 2/92 units

Eagle bold pick

Norwich City to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 7/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Norwich City 58%, the draw 24% and Bolton Wanderers 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Norwich City took 12 points from their last 5 games and Bolton Wanderers took 1 from 5. Norwich City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Norwich City won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Bolton Wanderers won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Norwich City score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.1. Bolton Wanderers score 1.4 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Norwich City games and 11 of Bolton Wanderers games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Norwich City or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers: Norwich City are favourites

The big picture

Norwich City host Bolton Wanderers in the Championship on Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 at Carrow Road. Our prediction for Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers is Norwich City to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Norwich City or Draw at 2/9.

Norwich City form

Norwich City have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Bolton Wanderers form

Bolton Wanderers have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Norwich City to score about 1.9 goals and Bolton Wanderers about 0.9. That points to Norwich City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Norwich City or Draw at 2/9. Our bold bet is Norwich City to win and Over 2.5 at 7/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Norwich CityBolton
Games played2020
Wins126
Draws26
Losses68
Goals scored3429
Goals conceded2330
Scored per game1.71.4
Conceded per game1.11.5
Home record6W 2D 2L4W 3D 3L
Away record6W 0D 4L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored65%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%2/7
Over 2.5 goals53%10/11
Over 3.5 goals31%9/4
Both teams to score52%10/11
Norwich City or Draw82%2/9
Bolton Wanderers or Draw42%7/5
Norwich City to win and Over 2.537%7/4
Bolton Wanderers to win and Over 2.510%17/2
Norwich City clean sheet39%8/5
Bolton Wanderers clean sheet16%11/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
1-010.6%
2-010.4%
2-19.9%
0-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers?

Our prediction for Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers is Norwich City to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Norwich City or Draw at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Norwich City to score 1.9 goals and Bolton Wanderers 0.9.

Will both teams score in Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Norwich City last 20 games and 11 of Bolton Wanderers last 20.

How are Norwich City playing?

Norwich City have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Bolton Wanderers playing?

Bolton Wanderers have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers?

Norwich City or Draw at 2/9, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.