Predictions › United Kingdom › Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City

Premier LeagueSat 19 Sept, 17:30 United Kingdom time

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City prediction

The City Ground

Nottingham ForestHome

1.70 : 1.04

expected goals

Coventry CityAway

52%Nottm Forest

25%Draw

22%Coventry

Eagle safe pickNottingham Forest or Draw

2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City is Nottingham Forest to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Nottingham Forest or Draw at 2/7.

Prediction: Nottingham Forest to win
Chance: 52%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Nottingham Forest 1.7, Coventry City 1.0
Best bet: Nottingham Forest or Draw at 2/7
Both teams to score: 54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nottingham Forest or Draw

78% chanceFair price 2/72 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nottingham Forest to win and Over 2.5

33% chanceFair price 85/401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Nottingham Forest 52%, the draw 25% and Coventry City 22%. The bookmakers agree and make Nottingham Forest the favourite at 4/5.
2
Recent form
Nottingham Forest took 3 points from their last 5 games and Coventry City took 6 from 5. Coventry City come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Nottingham Forest won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Coventry City won 6 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Nottingham Forest score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Coventry City score 1.9 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Nottingham Forest games and 12 of Coventry City games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Nottingham Forest or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City: Nottingham Forest are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nottingham Forest host Coventry City in the Premier League on Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 at The City Ground. Our prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City is Nottingham Forest to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Nottingham Forest or Draw at 2/7.

Nottingham Forest form

Nottingham Forest have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Coventry City form

Coventry City have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Nottingham Forest to score about 1.7 goals and Coventry City about 1.0. That points to Nottingham Forest to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Nottingham Forest or Draw at 2/7. Our bold bet is Nottingham Forest to win and Over 2.5 at 85/40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Nottm Forest	Coventry
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	12
Draws	8	4
Losses	5	4
Goals scored	29	38
Goals conceded	22	17
Scored per game	1.4	1.9
Conceded per game	1.1	0.8
Home record	3W 5D 3L	6W 2D 2L
Away record	4W 3D 2L	6W 2D 2L
Clean sheets	30%	40%
Both teams scored	50%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Nottingham Forest to win	52%	10/11	4/5	-6.1%
A Draw	25%	3/1	11/4	-3.5%
Coventry City to win	22%	7/2	10/3	-3.4%
Over 2.5 goals	53%	10/11	4/5	-6.9%
Under 2.5 goals	47%	11/10	Evens	-5.3%
Nottingham Forest -0.5	53%	10/11	8/11	-9.3%
Coventry City +0.5	47%	11/10	10/11	-8.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	77%	3/10
Over 2.5 goals	52%	10/11
Over 3.5 goals	30%	12/5
Both teams to score	54%	5/6
Nottingham Forest or Draw	78%	2/7
Coventry City or Draw	48%	11/10
Nottingham Forest to win and Over 2.5	33%	85/40
Coventry City to win and Over 2.5	13%	13/2
Nottingham Forest clean sheet	35%	9/5
Coventry City clean sheet	18%	9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%

1-010.3%

2-19.7%

2-09.3%

0-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City?

Our prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City is Nottingham Forest to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Nottingham Forest or Draw at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Nottingham Forest to score 1.7 goals and Coventry City 1.0.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Nottingham Forest last 20 games and 9 of Coventry City last 20.

How are Nottingham Forest playing?

How are Coventry City playing?

What is the best bet for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City?

Nottingham Forest or Draw at 2/7, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.