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Predictions › United Kingdom › Notts County vs Bradford City
League OneSat 12 Sept, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Notts County vs Bradford City prediction

Meadow Lane

Notts CountyHome
1.18 : 1.28
expected goals
Bradford CityAway
33%Notts County
29%Draw
38%Bradford
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Notts County vs Bradford City is Bradford City to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Bradford City to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Notts County 1.2, Bradford City 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Notts County 33%, the draw 29% and Bradford City 38%. The bookmakers agree and make Bradford City the favourite at 7/5.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Notts County took 7 points from their last 5 games and Bradford City took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Notts County score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.2. Bradford City score 1.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Notts County games and 6 of Bradford City games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Notts County vs Bradford City: Bradford City shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Notts County host Bradford City in the League One on Sat 12 Sept, 12:30 at Meadow Lane. Our prediction for Notts County vs Bradford City is Bradford City to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Notts County form

Notts County have 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 games, with 8 goals scored and 7 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses from 2. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Bradford City form

Bradford City have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Notts County to score about 1.2 goals and Bradford City about 1.3. That points to Bradford City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Notts CountyBradford
Games played620
Wins18
Draws55
Losses07
Goals scored821
Goals conceded719
Scored per game1.31.1
Conceded per game1.20.9
Home record1W 1D 0L4W 4D 3L
Away record0W 4D 0L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets0%30%
Both teams scored100%45%
Over 2.5 goals33%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Notts County to win33%2/115/8-5.3%
A Draw29%5/212/5-2.1%
Bradford City to win38%13/87/5-8.9%
Over 2.5 goals45%5/411/10-6.4%
Under 2.5 goals55%4/54/6-6.3%
Notts County +0.561%4/68/15-6.7%
Bradford City -0.539%6/45/4-9.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%2/5
Over 2.5 goals44%5/4
Over 3.5 goals23%10/3
Both teams to score51%Evens
Notts County or Draw62%8/13
Bradford City or Draw67%1/2
Notts County to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Bradford City to win and Over 2.521%4/1
Notts County clean sheet28%13/5
Bradford City clean sheet31%9/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.7%
0-110.2%
0-09.4%
1-09.3%
1-28.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Notts County vs Bradford City?

Our prediction for Notts County vs Bradford City is Bradford City to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Notts County vs Bradford City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Notts County to score 1.2 goals and Bradford City 1.3.

Will both teams score in Notts County vs Bradford City?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Notts County last 6 games and 9 of Bradford City last 20.

How are Notts County playing?

Notts County have 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 games, with 8 goals scored and 7 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses from 2. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Bradford City playing?

Bradford City have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Notts County vs Bradford City?

Under 3.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.