Predictions › Europa League › OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim

Europa LeagueThu 17 Sept, 16:45 UTC

OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction

Pankritio Stadium

OFI CreteHome

0.86 : 2.16

expected goals

TSG HoffenheimAway

13%OFI Crete

20%Draw

67%Hoffenheim

Eagle safe pickTSG Hoffenheim to win

1.43

Quick answer

Our prediction for OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim is TSG Hoffenheim to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is TSG Hoffenheim to win at 1.43.

Prediction: TSG Hoffenheim to win
Chance: 67%
Most likely score: 0-2
Expected goals: OFI Crete 0.9, TSG Hoffenheim 2.2
Best bet: TSG Hoffenheim to win at 1.43
Both teams to score: 52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

TSG Hoffenheim to win

67% chancePrice 1.431 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

TSG Hoffenheim to win and both score

30% chanceFair price 3.371 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives OFI Crete 13%, the draw 20% and TSG Hoffenheim 67%. The bookmakers agree and make TSG Hoffenheim the favourite at 1.43.
2
The safest bet
TSG Hoffenheim to win has a 67% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim: TSG Hoffenheim are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

OFI Crete host TSG Hoffenheim in the Europa League on Thu 17 Sept, 16:45 at Pankritio Stadium. Our prediction for OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim is TSG Hoffenheim to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is TSG Hoffenheim to win at 1.43.

OFI Crete form

OFI Crete have no recent games in our records yet.

TSG Hoffenheim form

TSG Hoffenheim have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect OFI Crete to score about 0.9 goals and TSG Hoffenheim about 2.2. That points to TSG Hoffenheim to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is TSG Hoffenheim to win at 1.43. Our bold bet is TSG Hoffenheim to win and both score at 3.37.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	OFI Crete	Hoffenheim
Games played	n/a	20
Wins	n/a	9
Draws	n/a	4
Losses	n/a	7
Goals scored	n/a	35
Goals conceded	n/a	37
Scored per game	n/a	1.8
Conceded per game	n/a	1.9
Home record	n/a	5W 2D 3L
Away record	n/a	4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets	n/a	20%
Both teams scored	n/a	65%
Over 2.5 goals	n/a	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
OFI Crete to win	13%	7.59	7.00	-7.8%
A Draw	20%	4.95	4.80	-2.9%
TSG Hoffenheim to win	67%	1.50	1.43	-5.0%
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.72	1.61	-6.4%
Under 2.5 goals	42%	2.40	2.25	-6.1%
OFI Crete +1.5	56%	1.79	1.65	-8.1%
TSG Hoffenheim -1.5	44%	2.27	2.05	-9.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.24
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.72
Over 3.5 goals	36%	2.80
Both teams to score	52%	1.94
OFI Crete or Draw	33%	2.99
TSG Hoffenheim or Draw	87%	1.15
OFI Crete to win and Over 2.5	8%	12.96
TSG Hoffenheim to win and Over 2.5	45%	2.21
OFI Crete clean sheet	12%	8.67
TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet	42%	2.36

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-211.4%

0-110.0%

1-29.8%

1-19.6%

0-38.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Our prediction for OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim is TSG Hoffenheim to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is TSG Hoffenheim to win at 1.43.

What is the score prediction for OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect OFI Crete to score 0.9 goals and TSG Hoffenheim 2.2.

Will both teams score in OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance.

How are TSG Hoffenheim playing?

What is the best bet for OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim?

TSG Hoffenheim to win at 1.43, with a 67% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.