Oklahoma Sooners vs Michigan Wolverines prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Oklahoma to win

64% chancePrice -2051 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Michigan to win

36% chancePrice +1701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Michigan Wolverines 36% and Oklahoma Sooners 64%. The bookmakers agree and make Oklahoma Sooners the favourite at -205.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Michigan Wolverines won 3 of their last 5 and Oklahoma Sooners won 4 of their last 5. Oklahoma Sooners come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Michigan Wolverines won 5 of their last 6 games at home. Oklahoma Sooners won 4 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Michigan Wolverines score 27.0 points a game and let in 19.7. Oklahoma Sooners score 27.8 and let in 15.4. Their recent games average 46.7 and 43.2 points in total, and the market line is 43.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Oklahoma to win has a 64% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Michigan +3.5 wins if Michigan win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.