Old Dominion Monarchs vs Virginia Tech Hokies prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Old Dominion +29.5

75% chanceFair price -2951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Virginia Tech Hokies 88% and Old Dominion Monarchs 12%. The bookmakers agree and make Virginia Tech Hokies the favourite at -1099.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Virginia Tech Hokies won 1 of their last 5 and Old Dominion Monarchs won 5 of their last 5. Old Dominion Monarchs come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Virginia Tech Hokies won 3 of their last 7 games at home. Old Dominion Monarchs won 4 of their last 6 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Virginia Tech Hokies score 27.2 points a game and let in 27.0. Old Dominion Monarchs score 31.6 and let in 18.2. Their recent games average 54.2 and 49.8 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 1 meeting, Virginia Tech Hokies won 0 and Old Dominion Monarchs won 1. The last one ended Virginia Tech Hokies 26, Old Dominion Monarchs 45.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Old Dominion +29.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Virginia Tech +3.5 wins if Virginia Tech win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.