Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Bialystok prediction

Wed 16 Sept, 19:00 UTC, Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium

Olympiacos

2.04 - 0.90

expected goals

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Olympiacos 63%Draw 22%Jagiellonia 15%

Our three picks

✓

Jagiellonia Bialystok +1.5

60% chancePrice 1.71+3.4% value1 unit

★

Jagiellonia Bialystok +1.5

60% chancePrice 1.71+3.4% value1 unit

⚡

Olympiacos to win and Over 2.5

42% chanceFair price 2.381 unit

Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Olympiacos to win	63%	1.58	1.37	-13.2%
A Draw	22%	4.63	4.90	+5.9%
Jagiellonia Bialystok to win	15%	6.65	8.00	+20.4%
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.78	1.61	-9.7%
Under 2.5 goals	44%	2.29	2.25	-1.5%
Olympiacos -1.5	40%	2.52	1.95	-22.5%
Jagiellonia Bialystok +1.5	60%	1.66	1.71	+3.4%

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.25
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.78
Over 3.5 goals	34%	2.95
Both teams to score	52%	1.92
Olympiacos or Draw	85%	1.18
Jagiellonia Bialystok or Draw	37%	2.73
Olympiacos to win and Over 2.5	42%	2.38
Jagiellonia Bialystok to win and Over 2.5	9%	11.43
Olympiacos clean sheet	41%	2.45
Jagiellonia Bialystok clean sheet	13%	7.70

2-011.0%

1-110.3%

1-010.2%

2-19.9%

3-07.5%

Who will win Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Our model gives Olympiacos a 63% chance, the draw 22% and Jagiellonia Bialystok 15%.

How many goals will there be in Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

We expect about 2.9 goals (Olympiacos 2.04, Jagiellonia Bialystok 0.90). Over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance.

Will both teams score in Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance according to our model.

What is the most likely score?

2-0, with a 11.0% chance, followed by 1-1 and 1-0.