Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo prediction

Wed 16 Sept, 16:45 UTC, GSP Stadium

Omonia Nicosia

0.97 - 1.43

expected goals

Celta Vigo

Omonia 25%Draw 28%Celta Vigo 47%

Our three picks

✓

Under 3.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Celta Vigo to win and Over 2.5

25% chanceFair price 3.951 unit

No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.

Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Omonia Nicosia to win	25%	4.03	4.00	-0.6%
A Draw	28%	3.53	3.45	-2.3%
Celta Vigo to win	47%	2.14	1.91	-10.6%
Over 2.5 goals	43%	2.33	2.05	-12.2%
Under 2.5 goals	57%	1.75	1.74	-0.5%
Omonia Nicosia +0.5	53%	1.88	1.83	-2.6%
Celta Vigo -0.5	47%	2.14	1.83	-14.1%

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	70%	1.43
Over 2.5 goals	43%	2.33
Over 3.5 goals	22%	4.55
Both teams to score	48%	2.09
Omonia Nicosia or Draw	53%	1.88
Celta Vigo or Draw	75%	1.33
Omonia Nicosia to win and Over 2.5	12%	8.02
Celta Vigo to win and Over 2.5	25%	3.95
Omonia Nicosia clean sheet	24%	4.16
Celta Vigo clean sheet	38%	2.63

1-113.4%

0-112.3%

0-09.9%

0-29.3%

1-29.0%

Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?

Our model gives Omonia Nicosia a 25% chance, the draw 28% and Celta Vigo 47%.

How many goals will there be in Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?

We expect about 2.4 goals (Omonia Nicosia 0.97, Celta Vigo 1.43). Over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance.

Will both teams score in Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance according to our model.

What is the most likely score?

1-1, with a 13.4% chance, followed by 0-1 and 0-0.