Predictions › United States › Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC

MLSSat 12 Sept, 19:30 United States time

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC prediction

Inter&Co Stadium

Orlando City SCHome

1.77 : 1.26

expected goals

Toronto FCAway

49%Orlando

25%Draw

27%Toronto

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

-431

Quick answer

Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC is Orlando City SC to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -431.

Prediction: Orlando City SC to win
Chance: 49%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Orlando City SC 1.8, Toronto FC 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at -431
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

81% chanceFair price -4312 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.5

33% chanceFair price +2011 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Orlando City SC 49%, the draw 25% and Toronto FC 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Orlando City SC the favourite at -120.
2
Recent form
Orlando City SC took 10 points from their last 5 games and Toronto FC took 9 from 5. Orlando City SC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Orlando City SC won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Toronto FC won 1 of their last 7 on the road.
4
Goals
Orlando City SC score 1.8 goals a game and let in 2.2. Toronto FC score 1.7 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Orlando City SC games and 14 of Toronto FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Orlando City SC won 0 and Toronto FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Toronto FC 4, Orlando City SC 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC: Orlando City SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Orlando City SC host Toronto FC in the MLS on Sat 12 Sept, 19:30 at Inter&Co Stadium. Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC is Orlando City SC to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -431.

Orlando City SC form

Orlando City SC have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 44 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Toronto FC form

Toronto FC have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Orlando City SC won 0, Toronto FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Toronto FC 4, Orlando City SC 2.

Our call

We expect Orlando City SC to score about 1.8 goals and Toronto FC about 1.3. That points to Orlando City SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -431. Our bold bet is Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.5 at +201.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Orlando	Toronto
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	5
Draws	4	10
Losses	8	5
Goals scored	36	34
Goals conceded	44	36
Scored per game	1.8	1.7
Conceded per game	2.2	1.8
Home record	5W 2D 2L	4W 7D 2L
Away record	3W 2D 6L	1W 3D 3L
Clean sheets	15%	10%
Both teams scored	65%	90%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Orlando City SC to win	49%	+105	-120	-10.7%
A Draw	25%	+306	+300	-1.5%
Toronto FC to win	27%	+275	+250	-6.7%
Over 3.5 goals	44%	+129	+100	-12.7%
Under 3.5 goals	56%	-129	-130	-0.3%
Orlando City SC -0.5	51%	-103	-125	-8.8%
Toronto FC +0.5	49%	+103	-110	-5.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	-431
Over 2.5 goals	58%	-140
Over 3.5 goals	36%	+178
Both teams to score	60%	-151
Orlando City SC or Draw	73%	-275
Toronto FC or Draw	51%	-105
Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.5	33%	+201
Toronto FC to win and Over 2.5	17%	+476
Orlando City SC clean sheet	28%	+253
Toronto FC clean sheet	17%	+487

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%

2-19.5%

1-07.9%

2-07.6%

1-26.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?

Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC is Orlando City SC to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -431.

What is the score prediction for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Orlando City SC to score 1.8 goals and Toronto FC 1.3.

Will both teams score in Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Orlando City SC last 20 games and 18 of Toronto FC last 20.

How are Orlando City SC playing?

How are Toronto FC playing?

What happened when Orlando City SC and Toronto FC last met?

It ended Toronto FC 4, Orlando City SC 2. In the last 1 meeting Orlando City SC won 0 and Toronto FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -431, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.