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Predictions › South Africa › Orlando Pirates vs Durban City
South African PremiershipThu 17 Sept, 19:30 South Africa time

Orlando Pirates vs Durban City prediction

Orlando Stadium

Orlando PiratesHome
1.61 : 0.48
expected goals
Durban CityAway
65%O Pirates
25%Draw
10%Durban
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Orlando Pirates vs Durban City is Orlando Pirates to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Orlando Pirates to win
Chance
65%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Orlando Pirates 1.6, Durban City 0.5
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
31%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Orlando Pirates to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Orlando Pirates 65%, the draw 25% and Durban City 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Orlando Pirates took 13 points from their last 5 games and Durban City took 6 from 5. Orlando Pirates come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Orlando Pirates won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Durban City won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Orlando Pirates score 2.4 goals a game and let in 0.4. Durban City score 0.7 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Orlando Pirates games and 2 of Durban City games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Orlando Pirates won 1 and Durban City won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Orlando Pirates 0, Durban City 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Orlando Pirates vs Durban City: Orlando Pirates are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Orlando Pirates host Durban City in the South African Premiership on Thu 17 Sept, 19:30 at Orlando Stadium. Our prediction for Orlando Pirates vs Durban City is Orlando Pirates to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Orlando Pirates form

Orlando Pirates have 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Durban City form

Durban City have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Orlando Pirates won 1, Durban City won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Orlando Pirates 0, Durban City 0.

Our call

We expect Orlando Pirates to score about 1.6 goals and Durban City about 0.5. That points to Orlando Pirates to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Orlando Pirates to win and Over 2.5 at 3.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

O PiratesDurban
Games played2020
Wins145
Draws58
Losses17
Goals scored4814
Goals conceded817
Scored per game2.40.7
Conceded per game0.40.8
Home record6W 3D 1L3W 6D 2L
Away record8W 2D 0L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets70%45%
Both teams scored30%25%
Over 2.5 goals55%10%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.60
Over 2.5 goals35%2.88
Over 3.5 goals16%6.28
Both teams to score31%3.22
Orlando Pirates or Draw90%1.11
Durban City or Draw35%2.84
Orlando Pirates to win and Over 2.529%3.40
Durban City to win and Over 2.53%30.20
Orlando Pirates clean sheet62%1.61
Durban City clean sheet20%5.00

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-019.4%
2-016.0%
0-013.0%
1-110.1%
3-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Durban City?

Our prediction for Orlando Pirates vs Durban City is Orlando Pirates to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Orlando Pirates vs Durban City?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 0-0. We expect Orlando Pirates to score 1.6 goals and Durban City 0.5.

Will both teams score in Orlando Pirates vs Durban City?

Both teams to score has a 31% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Orlando Pirates last 20 games and 5 of Durban City last 20.

How are Orlando Pirates playing?

Orlando Pirates have 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Durban City playing?

Durban City have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Orlando Pirates and Durban City last met?

It ended Orlando Pirates 0, Durban City 0. In the last 2 meetings Orlando Pirates won 1 and Durban City won 0.

What is the best bet for Orlando Pirates vs Durban City?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.