Predictions › LaLiga › Osasuna vs Espanyol
Osasuna vs Espanyol prediction
Sat 12 Sept, 17:15 Kenya time, El Sadar
Osasuna1.41 - 1.04
expected goals
EspanyolOsasuna 45%Draw 28%Espanyol 27%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Under 3.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
Correct score 1-1
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna to win | 45% | 2.24 | 2.20 | -1.9% |
| A Draw | 28% | 3.54 | 3.25 | -8.1% |
| Espanyol to win | 27% | 3.69 | 3.55 | -3.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | 2.25 | -0.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | 1.65 | -8.4% |
| Osasuna -0.5 | 45% | 2.24 | 2.10 | -6.3% |
| Espanyol +0.5 | 55% | 1.81 | 1.67 | -7.6% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.31 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 2.01 |
| Osasuna or Draw | 73% | 1.37 |
| Espanyol or Draw | 55% | 1.81 |
| Osasuna to win and Over 2.5 | 25% | 4.06 |
| Espanyol to win and Over 2.5 | 14% | 7.04 |
| Osasuna clean sheet | 35% | 2.84 |
| Espanyol clean sheet | 24% | 4.09 |
Most likely scores
1-113.4%
1-011.4%
0-09.4%
2-18.9%
2-08.6%
Questions people ask
Who will win Osasuna vs Espanyol?
Our model gives Osasuna a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Espanyol 27%.
How many goals will there be in Osasuna vs Espanyol?
We expect about 2.5 goals (Osasuna 1.41, Espanyol 1.04). Over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance.
Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Espanyol?
Both teams to score has a 50% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 13.4% chance, followed by 1-0 and 0-0.