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Predictions › LaLiga › Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano
LaLigaSat 19 Sept, 12:00 UTC

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano prediction

El Sadar

OsasunaHome
1.64 : 1.02
expected goals
Rayo VallecanoAway
51%Osasuna
26%Draw
23%Rayo
Eagle safe pickOsasuna or Draw
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano is Osasuna to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Osasuna or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction
Osasuna to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Osasuna 1.6, Rayo Vallecano 1.0
Best bet
Osasuna or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Osasuna or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Osasuna to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Osasuna 51%, the draw 26% and Rayo Vallecano 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Osasuna took 7 points from their last 5 games and Rayo Vallecano took 4 from 5. Osasuna come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Osasuna won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Rayo Vallecano won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Osasuna score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Rayo Vallecano score 1.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Osasuna games and 8 of Rayo Vallecano games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Osasuna won 2 and Rayo Vallecano won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Rayo Vallecano 1, Osasuna 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Osasuna or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: Osasuna are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Osasuna host Rayo Vallecano in the LaLiga on Sat 19 Sept, 12:00 at El Sadar. Our prediction for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano is Osasuna to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Osasuna or Draw at 1.30.

Osasuna form

Osasuna have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Rayo Vallecano form

Rayo Vallecano have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Osasuna won 2, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Rayo Vallecano 1, Osasuna 3.

Our call

We expect Osasuna to score about 1.6 goals and Rayo Vallecano about 1.0. That points to Osasuna to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Osasuna or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is Osasuna to win and Over 2.5 at 3.23.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OsasunaRayo
Games played2020
Wins69
Draws54
Losses97
Goals scored2326
Goals conceded2925
Scored per game1.11.3
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record4W 3D 3L6W 3D 1L
Away record2W 2D 6L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets20%35%
Both teams scored65%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%2.01
Over 3.5 goals28%3.61
Both teams to score52%1.91
Osasuna or Draw77%1.30
Rayo Vallecano or Draw49%2.05
Osasuna to win and Over 2.531%3.23
Rayo Vallecano to win and Over 2.513%7.83
Osasuna clean sheet36%2.77
Rayo Vallecano clean sheet19%5.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-010.8%
2-19.6%
2-09.4%
0-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?

Our prediction for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano is Osasuna to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Osasuna or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Osasuna to score 1.6 goals and Rayo Vallecano 1.0.

Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Osasuna last 20 games and 9 of Rayo Vallecano last 20.

How are Osasuna playing?

Osasuna have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Rayo Vallecano playing?

Rayo Vallecano have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano last met?

It ended Rayo Vallecano 1, Osasuna 3. In the last 2 meetings Osasuna won 2 and Rayo Vallecano won 0.

What is the best bet for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?

Osasuna or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.