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Liga MXMon 21 Sept, 00:00 UTC

Pachuca vs Tijuana prediction

Estadio Hidalgo

PachucaHome

1.71 : 1.13

expected goals

TijuanaAway

50%Pachuca

25%Draw

24%Tijuana

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pachuca vs Tijuana is Pachuca to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction: Pachuca to win
Chance: 50%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Pachuca 1.7, Tijuana 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score: 56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pachuca to win and Over 2.5

32% chanceFair price 3.091 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Pachuca 50%, the draw 25% and Tijuana 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Pachuca took 5 points from their last 5 games and Tijuana took 10 from 5. Tijuana come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Pachuca won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Tijuana won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Pachuca score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.1. Tijuana score 1.3 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Pachuca games and 10 of Tijuana games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Pachuca won 0 and Tijuana won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Tijuana 3, Pachuca 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Pachuca vs Tijuana: Pachuca are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pachuca host Tijuana in the Liga MX on Mon 21 Sept, 00:00 at Estadio Hidalgo. Our prediction for Pachuca vs Tijuana is Pachuca to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Pachuca form

Pachuca have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Tijuana form

Tijuana have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Pachuca won 0, Tijuana won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Tijuana 3, Pachuca 1.

Our call

We expect Pachuca to score about 1.7 goals and Tijuana about 1.1. That points to Pachuca to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Pachuca to win and Over 2.5 at 3.09.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Pachuca	Tijuana
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	8
Draws	4	7
Losses	6	5
Goals scored	30	26
Goals conceded	22	22
Scored per game	1.5	1.3
Conceded per game	1.1	1.1
Home record	5W 2D 3L	6W 3D 1L
Away record	5W 2D 3L	2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets	25%	35%
Both teams scored	60%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	78%	1.28
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.85
Over 3.5 goals	32%	3.16
Both teams to score	56%	1.78
Pachuca or Draw	76%	1.32
Tijuana or Draw	50%	2.01
Pachuca to win and Over 2.5	32%	3.09
Tijuana to win and Over 2.5	15%	6.76
Pachuca clean sheet	32%	3.09
Tijuana clean sheet	18%	5.53

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%

2-19.7%

1-09.3%

2-08.6%

0-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Pachuca vs Tijuana?

Our prediction for Pachuca vs Tijuana is Pachuca to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Pachuca vs Tijuana?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Pachuca to score 1.7 goals and Tijuana 1.1.

Will both teams score in Pachuca vs Tijuana?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Pachuca last 20 games and 11 of Tijuana last 20.

How are Pachuca playing?

How are Tijuana playing?

What happened when Pachuca and Tijuana last met?

It ended Tijuana 3, Pachuca 1. In the last 1 meeting Pachuca won 0 and Tijuana won 1.

What is the best bet for Pachuca vs Tijuana?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.