Predictions › Ligue 1 › Paris FC vs Lyon
Paris FC vs Lyon prediction
Sat 12 Sept, 21:45 Kenya time, Stade Jean Bouin
Paris FC1.46 - 1.47
expected goals
LyonParis FC 37%Draw 26%Lyon 37%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Paris FC +0.5
⚡
Bold pick
Correct score 1-1
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC to win | 37% | 2.71 | 2.65 | -2.4% |
| A Draw | 26% | 3.85 | 3.70 | -3.8% |
| Lyon to win | 37% | 2.69 | 2.50 | -7.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.65 | -7.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | 2.20 | -3.5% |
| Paris FC +0.5 | 63% | 1.59 | 1.51 | -4.9% |
| Lyon -0.5 | 37% | 2.69 | 2.40 | -10.8% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.96 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 1.67 |
| Paris FC or Draw | 63% | 1.59 |
| Lyon or Draw | 63% | 1.58 |
| Paris FC to win and Over 2.5 | 24% | 4.16 |
| Lyon to win and Over 2.5 | 24% | 4.12 |
| Paris FC clean sheet | 23% | 4.35 |
| Lyon clean sheet | 23% | 4.32 |
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
1-28.4%
2-18.4%
0-17.1%
1-07.1%
Questions people ask
Who will win Paris FC vs Lyon?
Our model gives Paris FC a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Lyon 37%.
How many goals will there be in Paris FC vs Lyon?
We expect about 2.9 goals (Paris FC 1.46, Lyon 1.47). Over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance.
Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Lyon?
Both teams to score has a 60% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 12.1% chance, followed by 1-2 and 2-1.