Predictions › Ligue 1 › Paris FC vs Strasbourg

Ligue 1Sat 19 Sept, 15:15 UTC

Paris FC vs Strasbourg prediction

Stade Jean Bouin

Paris FCHome

1.79 : 1.42

expected goals

StrasbourgAway

46%Paris FC

24%Draw

30%Strasbourg

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Paris FC vs Strasbourg is Paris FC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction: Paris FC to win
Chance: 46%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Paris FC 1.8, Strasbourg 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score: 64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

84% chanceFair price 1.202 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Strasbourg to win

30% chancePrice 3.301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Paris FC 46%, the draw 24% and Strasbourg 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Paris FC the favourite at 2.05.
2
Recent form
Paris FC took 10 points from their last 5 games and Strasbourg took 12 from 5. Strasbourg come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Paris FC won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Strasbourg won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Paris FC score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Strasbourg score 1.7 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Paris FC games and 12 of Strasbourg games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Paris FC won 0 and Strasbourg won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Strasbourg 0, Paris FC 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Paris FC vs Strasbourg: Paris FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Paris FC host Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 on Sat 19 Sept, 15:15 at Stade Jean Bouin. Our prediction for Paris FC vs Strasbourg is Paris FC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Paris FC form

Paris FC have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Strasbourg form

Strasbourg have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Paris FC won 0, Strasbourg won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Strasbourg 0, Paris FC 0.

Our call

We expect Paris FC to score about 1.8 goals and Strasbourg about 1.4. That points to Paris FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Strasbourg to win at 3.30.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Paris FC	Strasbourg
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	9
Draws	8	5
Losses	3	6
Goals scored	31	34
Goals conceded	21	30
Scored per game	1.6	1.7
Conceded per game	1.1	1.5
Home record	6W 2D 2L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	3W 6D 1L	5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets	35%	15%
Both teams scored	55%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Paris FC to win	46%	2.19	2.05	-6.5%
A Draw	24%	4.13	3.65	-11.5%
Strasbourg to win	30%	3.32	3.30	-0.5%
Over 2.5 goals	59%	1.69	1.61	-5.1%
Under 2.5 goals	41%	2.45	2.20	-10.0%
Paris FC -0.5	47%	2.14	1.91	-10.7%
Strasbourg +0.5	53%	1.88	1.71	-8.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	84%	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	62%	1.61
Over 3.5 goals	40%	2.51
Both teams to score	64%	1.57
Paris FC or Draw	70%	1.43
Strasbourg or Draw	54%	1.84
Paris FC to win and Over 2.5	33%	3.07
Strasbourg to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.78
Paris FC clean sheet	24%	4.14
Strasbourg clean sheet	17%	5.96

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%

2-19.2%

1-27.3%

1-06.6%

2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Paris FC vs Strasbourg?

Our prediction for Paris FC vs Strasbourg is Paris FC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Paris FC vs Strasbourg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Paris FC to score 1.8 goals and Strasbourg 1.4.

Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Strasbourg?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Paris FC last 20 games and 12 of Strasbourg last 20.

How are Paris FC playing?

How are Strasbourg playing?

What happened when Paris FC and Strasbourg last met?

It ended Strasbourg 0, Paris FC 0. In the last 2 meetings Paris FC won 0 and Strasbourg won 1.

What is the best bet for Paris FC vs Strasbourg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.