PredictionsEredivisiePEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam
EredivisieSun 13 Sept, 14:45 UTC

PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam prediction

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC ZwolleHome
1.10 : 2.20
expected goals
Feyenoord RotterdamAway
17%PEC Zwolle
21%Draw
62%Feyenoord
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam is Feyenoord Rotterdam to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
PEC Zwolle 1.1, Feyenoord Rotterdam 2.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units

Eagle bold pick

Feyenoord Rotterdam to win and both score
33% chanceFair price 3.061 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives PEC Zwolle 17%, the draw 21% and Feyenoord Rotterdam 62%. The bookmakers agree and make Feyenoord Rotterdam the favourite at 1.44.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    PEC Zwolle took 4 points from their last 5 games and Feyenoord Rotterdam took 8 from 5. Feyenoord Rotterdam come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    PEC Zwolle won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Feyenoord Rotterdam won 6 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    PEC Zwolle score 1.3 goals a game and let in 2.0. Feyenoord Rotterdam score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of PEC Zwolle games and 11 of Feyenoord Rotterdam games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, PEC Zwolle won 0 and Feyenoord Rotterdam won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended PEC Zwolle 0, Feyenoord Rotterdam 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam: Feyenoord Rotterdam are favourites

The big picture

PEC Zwolle host Feyenoord Rotterdam in the Eredivisie on Sun 13 Sept, 14:45 at MAC³PARK Stadion. Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam is Feyenoord Rotterdam to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

PEC Zwolle form

PEC Zwolle have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Feyenoord Rotterdam form

Feyenoord Rotterdam have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. PEC Zwolle won 0, Feyenoord Rotterdam won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished PEC Zwolle 0, Feyenoord Rotterdam 2.

Our call

We expect PEC Zwolle to score about 1.1 goals and Feyenoord Rotterdam about 2.2. That points to Feyenoord Rotterdam to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Feyenoord Rotterdam to win and both score at 3.06.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PEC ZwolleFeyenoord
Games played2020
Wins410
Draws67
Losses103
Goals scored2533
Goals conceded4127
Scored per game1.31.6
Conceded per game2.01.4
Home record3W 3D 4L4W 4D 0L
Away record1W 3D 6L6W 3D 3L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
PEC Zwolle to win17%5.736.00+4.6%
A Draw21%4.814.80-0.1%
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win62%1.621.44-10.8%
Over 3.5 goals48%2.091.83-12.2%
Under 3.5 goals52%1.921.87-2.6%
PEC Zwolle +1.556%1.781.69-5.2%
Feyenoord Rotterdam -1.544%2.282.00-12.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.56
Over 3.5 goals42%2.39
Both teams to score60%1.67
PEC Zwolle or Draw38%2.61
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Draw83%1.21
PEC Zwolle to win and Over 2.512%8.57
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win and Over 2.545%2.21
PEC Zwolle clean sheet11%8.99
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet33%3.00

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.8%
1-19.5%
0-28.9%
0-17.6%
1-37.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam is Feyenoord Rotterdam to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect PEC Zwolle to score 1.1 goals and Feyenoord Rotterdam 2.2.

Will both teams score in PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of PEC Zwolle last 20 games and 13 of Feyenoord Rotterdam last 20.

How are PEC Zwolle playing?

PEC Zwolle have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Feyenoord Rotterdam playing?

Feyenoord Rotterdam have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when PEC Zwolle and Feyenoord Rotterdam last met?

It ended PEC Zwolle 0, Feyenoord Rotterdam 2. In the last 2 meetings PEC Zwolle won 0 and Feyenoord Rotterdam won 2.

What is the best bet for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.