PredictionsUnited StatesPenn State Nittany Lions vs Temple Owls
College FootballSat 12 Sept, 12:00 United States time

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Temple Owls prediction

Lincoln Financial Field

Penn State Nittany LionsAway
37.2 : 13.7
projected points
Temple OwlsHome
93%Penn State
7%Temple
Eagle safe pickOver 40.5 points
-287

Quick answer

Our prediction for Penn State Nittany Lions vs Temple Owls is Penn State Nittany Lions to win, with a 93% chance. We project Penn State Nittany Lions 37.2 and Temple Owls 13.7. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -287.

Prediction
Penn State Nittany Lions to win
Chance
93%
Projected score
Penn State Nittany Lions 37, Temple Owls 14
Projected total
50.9 points
Best bet
Over 40.5 points at -287

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 40.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Temple Owls 7% and Penn State Nittany Lions 93%. The bookmakers agree and make Penn State Nittany Lions the favourite at -2778.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Temple Owls won 1 of their last 5 and Penn State Nittany Lions won 5 of their last 5. Penn State Nittany Lions come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Temple Owls won 2 of their last 6 games at home. Penn State Nittany Lions won 3 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Temple Owls score 25.0 points a game and let in 32.1. Penn State Nittany Lions score 30.7 and let in 21.3. Their recent games average 57.1 and 52.0 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 40.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Temple Owls: Penn State Nittany Lions are favourites

The big picture

Temple Owls host Penn State Nittany Lions in the College Football on Sat 12 Sept, 12:00 at Lincoln Financial Field. Our prediction for Penn State Nittany Lions vs Temple Owls is Penn State Nittany Lions to win, with a 93% chance. We project Penn State Nittany Lions 37.2 and Temple Owls 13.7. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -287.

Temple Owls form

Temple Owls have 4 wins and 7 losses in their last 11 games, with 275 points scored and 353 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Penn State Nittany Lions form

Penn State Nittany Lions have 6 wins and 6 losses in their last 12 games, with 368 points scored and 256 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Penn State Nittany Lions to score about 37.2 points and Temple Owls about 13.7. That points to Penn State Nittany Lions to win. Our safest bet is Over 40.5 points at -287.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

TemplePenn State
Games played1112
Wins46
Losses76
Points scored275368
Points conceded353256
Scored per game25.030.7
Conceded per game32.121.3
Home record2W 4L3W 3L
Away record2W 3L3W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Temple to win7%+1361+1300-4.2%
Penn State to win93%-1361-2778-3.5%
Temple +23.550%+100-102-1.0%
Penn State -23.550%-100-118-7.6%
Over 50.5 points51%-104-115-4.8%
Under 50.5 points49%+104-105-4.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Temple spreadCoversFair
Temple +16.533%+202
Temple +20.543%+135
Temple +23.550%+100
Temple +26.557%-135
Temple +30.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
43.568%32%
47.558%42%
50.551%49%
53.543%57%
57.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Temple +3.5 wins if Temple win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Penn State Nittany Lions vs Temple Owls?

Our prediction for Penn State Nittany Lions vs Temple Owls is Penn State Nittany Lions to win, with a 93% chance. We project Penn State Nittany Lions 37.2 and Temple Owls 13.7. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -287.

What is the projected score for Penn State Nittany Lions vs Temple Owls?

We project Penn State Nittany Lions 37.2 and Temple Owls 13.7, about 50.9 points in total.

How are Temple Owls playing?

Temple Owls have 4 wins and 7 losses in their last 11 games, with 275 points scored and 353 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Penn State Nittany Lions playing?

Penn State Nittany Lions have 6 wins and 6 losses in their last 12 games, with 368 points scored and 256 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Penn State Nittany Lions vs Temple Owls?

Over 40.5 points at -287, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.