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Predictions › United Kingdom › Peterborough United vs Barnsley
Carabao CupTue 15 Sept, 19:30 United Kingdom time

Peterborough United vs Barnsley prediction

London Road Stadium

Peterborough UnitedHome
1.49 : 1.27
expected goals
BarnsleyAway
42%Peterborough
27%Draw
32%Barnsley
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Peterborough United vs Barnsley is Peterborough United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Peterborough United to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Peterborough United 1.5, Barnsley 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Peterborough United to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 11/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Peterborough United 42%, the draw 27% and Barnsley 32%. The bookmakers agree and make Peterborough United the favourite at 11/10.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Peterborough United took 7 points from their last 5 games and Barnsley took 10 from 5. Barnsley come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Peterborough United won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Barnsley won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Peterborough United score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Barnsley score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Peterborough United games and 10 of Barnsley games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Peterborough United won 0 and Barnsley won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Barnsley 2, Peterborough United 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Peterborough United vs Barnsley: Peterborough United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Peterborough United host Barnsley in the Carabao Cup on Tue 15 Sept, 19:30 at London Road Stadium. Our prediction for Peterborough United vs Barnsley is Peterborough United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Peterborough United form

Peterborough United have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Barnsley form

Barnsley have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Peterborough United won 0, Barnsley won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Barnsley 2, Peterborough United 1.

Our call

We expect Peterborough United to score about 1.5 goals and Barnsley about 1.3. That points to Peterborough United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Peterborough United to win and Over 2.5 at 11/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PeterboroughBarnsley
Games played2020
Wins45
Draws78
Losses97
Goals scored2723
Goals conceded3329
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record2W 5D 3L2W 4D 5L
Away record2W 2D 6L3W 4D 2L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Peterborough United to win42%7/511/10-10.3%
A Draw27%11/45/2-7.8%
Barnsley to win32%11/52/1-6.9%
Over 2.5 goals52%10/114/5-6.2%
Under 2.5 goals48%11/1010/11-6.5%
Peterborough United -0.543%11/811/10-9.6%
Barnsley +0.557%8/118/13-7.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%3/10
Over 2.5 goals52%10/11
Over 3.5 goals30%12/5
Both teams to score57%4/5
Peterborough United or Draw68%4/9
Barnsley or Draw58%8/11
Peterborough United to win and Over 2.526%11/4
Barnsley to win and Over 2.519%4/1
Peterborough United clean sheet28%13/5
Barnsley clean sheet22%7/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
2-18.9%
1-08.7%
1-27.6%
0-17.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Peterborough United vs Barnsley?

Our prediction for Peterborough United vs Barnsley is Peterborough United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Peterborough United vs Barnsley?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Peterborough United to score 1.5 goals and Barnsley 1.3.

Will both teams score in Peterborough United vs Barnsley?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Peterborough United last 20 games and 13 of Barnsley last 20.

How are Peterborough United playing?

Peterborough United have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Barnsley playing?

Barnsley have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Peterborough United and Barnsley last met?

It ended Barnsley 2, Peterborough United 1. In the last 1 meeting Peterborough United won 0 and Barnsley won 1.

What is the best bet for Peterborough United vs Barnsley?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.