Peterborough United vs Doncaster Rovers prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1/42 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Peterborough United to win and Over 2.5

33% chanceFair price 85/401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Peterborough United 49%, the draw 25% and Doncaster Rovers 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Peterborough United took 7 points from their last 5 games and Doncaster Rovers took 3 from 5. Peterborough United come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Peterborough United won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Doncaster Rovers won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

4. 4
   Goals

   Peterborough United score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Doncaster Rovers score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Peterborough United games and 9 of Doncaster Rovers games in that run.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 2 meetings, Peterborough United won 0 and Doncaster Rovers won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Peterborough United 1, Doncaster Rovers 3.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.