PredictionsUnited StatesPhiladelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals
NHLMon 21 Sept, 19:00 United States time

Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals prediction

Giant Center

Philadelphia FlyersAway
2.8 : 3.2
projected goals
Washington CapitalsHome
41%Flyers
59%Capitals
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-529

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 59% chance. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.8 and Washington Capitals 3.2. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -529.

Prediction
Washington Capitals to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Washington Capitals 3
Projected total
6.0 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -529

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
84% chanceFair price -5292 units

Eagle bold pick

Flyers to win
41% chanceFair price +1451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Capitals 59% and Philadelphia Flyers 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Capitals won 4 of their last 5 and Philadelphia Flyers won 1 of their last 5. Washington Capitals come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Capitals won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Philadelphia Flyers won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Capitals score 3.3 goals a game and let in 2.9. Philadelphia Flyers score 2.9 and let in 2.5. Their recent games average 6.2 and 5.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Washington Capitals won 3 and Philadelphia Flyers won 2. The last one ended Washington Capitals 6, Philadelphia Flyers 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals are favourites

The big picture

Washington Capitals host Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL on Mon 21 Sept, 19:00 at Giant Center. Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 59% chance. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.8 and Washington Capitals 3.2. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -529.

Washington Capitals form

Washington Capitals have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 58 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Philadelphia Flyers form

Philadelphia Flyers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Washington Capitals won 3, Philadelphia Flyers won 2. Last time out it finished Washington Capitals 6, Philadelphia Flyers 4.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Flyers to score about 2.8 goals and Washington Capitals about 3.2. That points to Washington Capitals to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -529. Our bold bet is Flyers to win at +145.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CapitalsFlyers
Games played2020
Wins1211
Losses89
Goals scored6657
Goals conceded5849
Scored per game3.32.9
Conceded per game2.92.5
Home record6W 3L6W 4L
Away record6W 5L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Capitals spreadCoversFair
Capitals -1.534%+198
Capitals -0.550%+101
Capitals +0.566%-193
Total goalsOverUnder
4.574%26%
5.558%42%
6.541%59%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Capitals +3.5 wins if Capitals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals?

Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 59% chance. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.8 and Washington Capitals 3.2. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -529.

What is the projected score for Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals?

We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.8 and Washington Capitals 3.2, about 6.0 goals in total.

How are Washington Capitals playing?

Washington Capitals have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 58 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Philadelphia Flyers playing?

Philadelphia Flyers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Washington Capitals and Philadelphia Flyers last met?

It ended Washington Capitals 6, Philadelphia Flyers 4. In the last 5 meetings Washington Capitals won 3 and Philadelphia Flyers won 2.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals?

Over 4 goals at -529, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.