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Predictions › United States › Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals
MLBTue 15 Sept, 18:45 United States time

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals prediction

Nationals Park

Philadelphia PhilliesAway
4.8 : 4.6
projected runs
Washington NationalsHome
52%Phillies
48%Nationals
Eagle safe pickNationals +2.5
-239

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals is Philadelphia Phillies to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Phillies 4.8 and Washington Nationals 4.6. Our best bet is Nationals +2.5 at -239.

Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Philadelphia Phillies 5, Washington Nationals 5
Projected total
9.5 runs
Best bet
Nationals +2.5 at -239

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nationals +2.5
71% chanceFair price -2391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Nationals 48% and Philadelphia Phillies 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Nationals won 0 of their last 5 and Philadelphia Phillies won 2 of their last 5. Philadelphia Phillies come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Nationals won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Philadelphia Phillies won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Nationals score 4.0 runs a game and let in 5.0. Philadelphia Phillies score 4.5 and let in 3.2. Their recent games average 8.9 and 7.7 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Washington Nationals won 1 and Philadelphia Phillies won 4. The last one ended Philadelphia Phillies 7, Washington Nationals 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nationals +2.5 has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals: Philadelphia Phillies shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Washington Nationals host Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB on Tue 15 Sept, 18:45 at Nationals Park. Our prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals is Philadelphia Phillies to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Phillies 4.8 and Washington Nationals 4.6. Our best bet is Nationals +2.5 at -239.

Washington Nationals form

Washington Nationals have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 80 runs scored and 99 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Philadelphia Phillies form

Philadelphia Phillies have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 89 runs scored and 64 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Washington Nationals won 1, Philadelphia Phillies won 4. Last time out it finished Philadelphia Phillies 7, Washington Nationals 3.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Phillies to score about 4.8 runs and Washington Nationals about 4.6. That points to Philadelphia Phillies to win. Our safest bet is Nationals +2.5 at -239.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NationalsPhillies
Games played2020
Wins613
Losses147
Runs scored8089
Runs conceded9964
Scored per game4.04.5
Conceded per game5.03.2
Home record6W 4L7W 4L
Away record0W 10L6W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Nationals spreadCoversFair
Nationals -1.534%+194
Nationals -0.543%+132
Nationals +0.553%-111
Nationals +1.562%-162
Nationals +2.571%-239
Total runsOverUnder
7.567%33%
8.559%41%
9.550%50%
10.541%59%
11.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nationals +3.5 wins if Nationals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals?

Our prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals is Philadelphia Phillies to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Phillies 4.8 and Washington Nationals 4.6. Our best bet is Nationals +2.5 at -239.

What is the projected score for Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals?

We project Philadelphia Phillies 4.8 and Washington Nationals 4.6, about 9.5 runs in total.

How are Washington Nationals playing?

Washington Nationals have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 80 runs scored and 99 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Philadelphia Phillies playing?

Philadelphia Phillies have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 89 runs scored and 64 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies last met?

It ended Philadelphia Phillies 7, Washington Nationals 3. In the last 5 meetings Washington Nationals won 1 and Philadelphia Phillies won 4.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals?

Nationals +2.5 at -239, with a 71% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.