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Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Platense vs Newell's Old Boys
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 20 Sept, 20:00 UTC

Platense vs Newell's Old Boys prediction

Ciudad de Vicente López

PlatenseHome
1.15 : 1.28
expected goals
Newell's Old BoysAway
33%Platense
29%Draw
39%Newell's
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Platense vs Newell's Old Boys is Newell's Old Boys to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Newell's Old Boys to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Platense 1.1, Newell's Old Boys 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Platense 33%, the draw 29% and Newell's Old Boys 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Platense took 8 points from their last 5 games and Newell's Old Boys took 9 from 5. Newell's Old Boys come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Platense won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Newell's Old Boys won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Platense score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.2. Newell's Old Boys score 1.0 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Platense games and 7 of Newell's Old Boys games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Platense won 0 and Newell's Old Boys won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Newell's Old Boys 1, Platense 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Platense vs Newell's Old Boys: Newell's Old Boys shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Platense host Newell's Old Boys in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 20 Sept, 20:00 at Ciudad de Vicente López. Our prediction for Platense vs Newell's Old Boys is Newell's Old Boys to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Platense form

Platense have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Newell's Old Boys form

Newell's Old Boys have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Platense won 0, Newell's Old Boys won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Newell's Old Boys 1, Platense 1.

Our call

We expect Platense to score about 1.1 goals and Newell's Old Boys about 1.3. That points to Newell's Old Boys to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.28.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PlatenseNewell's
Games played2020
Wins36
Draws98
Losses86
Goals scored1420
Goals conceded2426
Scored per game0.71.0
Conceded per game1.21.3
Home record1W 5D 4L4W 5D 2L
Away record2W 4D 4L2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored40%50%
Over 2.5 goals25%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.28
Over 3.5 goals23%4.40
Both teams to score50%2.00
Platense or Draw61%1.63
Newell's Old Boys or Draw67%1.48
Platense to win and Over 2.517%5.78
Newell's Old Boys to win and Over 2.521%4.79
Platense clean sheet28%3.58
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet32%3.17

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.7%
0-110.5%
0-09.6%
1-09.4%
1-28.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Platense vs Newell's Old Boys?

Our prediction for Platense vs Newell's Old Boys is Newell's Old Boys to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Platense vs Newell's Old Boys?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Platense to score 1.1 goals and Newell's Old Boys 1.3.

Will both teams score in Platense vs Newell's Old Boys?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Platense last 20 games and 10 of Newell's Old Boys last 20.

How are Platense playing?

Platense have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Newell's Old Boys playing?

Newell's Old Boys have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Platense and Newell's Old Boys last met?

It ended Newell's Old Boys 1, Platense 1. In the last 1 meeting Platense won 0 and Newell's Old Boys won 0.

What is the best bet for Platense vs Newell's Old Boys?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.