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Predictions › South Africa › Polokwane City FC vs Kaizer Chiefs
South African PremiershipSat 12 Sept, 15:00 South Africa time

Polokwane City FC vs Kaizer Chiefs prediction

Old Peter Mokaba Stadium

Polokwane City FCHome
0.79 : 1.26
expected goals
Kaizer ChiefsAway
23%Polokwane
31%Draw
47%Kaizer Chiefs
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Polokwane City FC vs Kaizer Chiefs is Kaizer Chiefs to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Kaizer Chiefs to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Polokwane City FC 0.8, Kaizer Chiefs 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1
15% chanceFair price 6.501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Polokwane City FC 23%, the draw 31% and Kaizer Chiefs 47%. The bookmakers agree and make Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 1.95.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Polokwane City FC took 6 points from their last 5 games and Kaizer Chiefs took 11 from 5. Kaizer Chiefs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Polokwane City FC won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Kaizer Chiefs won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Polokwane City FC score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.0. Kaizer Chiefs score 1.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Polokwane City FC games and 7 of Kaizer Chiefs games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Polokwane City FC won 0 and Kaizer Chiefs won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Polokwane City FC 0, Kaizer Chiefs 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Polokwane City FC vs Kaizer Chiefs: Kaizer Chiefs are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Polokwane City FC host Kaizer Chiefs in the South African Premiership on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 at Old Peter Mokaba Stadium. Our prediction for Polokwane City FC vs Kaizer Chiefs is Kaizer Chiefs to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Polokwane City FC form

Polokwane City FC have 4 wins, 11 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Kaizer Chiefs form

Kaizer Chiefs have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Polokwane City FC won 0, Kaizer Chiefs won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Polokwane City FC 0, Kaizer Chiefs 0.

Our call

We expect Polokwane City FC to score about 0.8 goals and Kaizer Chiefs about 1.3. That points to Kaizer Chiefs to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 6.50.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PolokwaneKaizer Chiefs
Games played2020
Wins410
Draws115
Losses55
Goals scored1729
Goals conceded2019
Scored per game0.81.4
Conceded per game1.00.9
Home record1W 6D 3L5W 1D 3L
Away record3W 5D 2L5W 4D 2L
Clean sheets40%35%
Both teams scored40%45%
Over 2.5 goals35%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Polokwane City FC to win23%4.414.00-9.3%
A Draw31%3.252.95-9.2%
Kaizer Chiefs to win47%2.151.95-9.1%
Over 1.5 goals60%1.661.54-6.9%
Under 1.5 goals40%2.532.30-8.9%
Polokwane City FC +0.553%1.901.74-8.3%
Kaizer Chiefs -0.547%2.111.91-9.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.62
Over 2.5 goals34%2.96
Over 3.5 goals15%6.54
Both teams to score40%2.50
Polokwane City FC or Draw53%1.87
Kaizer Chiefs or Draw77%1.29
Polokwane City FC to win and Over 2.59%10.85
Kaizer Chiefs to win and Over 2.521%4.76
Polokwane City FC clean sheet28%3.53
Kaizer Chiefs clean sheet45%2.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-115.4%
1-113.6%
0-013.6%
0-210.2%
1-09.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Polokwane City FC vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Our prediction for Polokwane City FC vs Kaizer Chiefs is Kaizer Chiefs to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Polokwane City FC vs Kaizer Chiefs?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Polokwane City FC to score 0.8 goals and Kaizer Chiefs 1.3.

Will both teams score in Polokwane City FC vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Polokwane City FC last 20 games and 9 of Kaizer Chiefs last 20.

How are Polokwane City FC playing?

Polokwane City FC have 4 wins, 11 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Kaizer Chiefs playing?

Kaizer Chiefs have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Polokwane City FC and Kaizer Chiefs last met?

It ended Polokwane City FC 0, Kaizer Chiefs 0. In the last 1 meeting Polokwane City FC won 0 and Kaizer Chiefs won 0.

What is the best bet for Polokwane City FC vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.