Portland Fire vs Los Angeles Sparks prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Sparks +7.5

74% chanceFair price -2851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Los Angeles Sparks 48% and Portland Fire 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Los Angeles Sparks won 3 of their last 5 and Portland Fire won 1 of their last 5. Los Angeles Sparks come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Los Angeles Sparks won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Portland Fire won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Los Angeles Sparks score 86.3 points a game and let in 90.0. Portland Fire score 88.5 and let in 89.8. Their recent games average 176.3 and 178.3 points in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 3 meetings, Los Angeles Sparks won 3 and Portland Fire won 0. The last one ended Portland Fire 101, Los Angeles Sparks 106.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Sparks +7.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sparks +3.5 wins if Sparks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.