PredictionsUnited StatesPortland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC
MLSSat 19 Sept, 22:30 United States time

Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC prediction

Providence Park

Portland TimbersHome
2.30 : 1.44
expected goals
Atlanta United FCAway
56%Portland
21%Draw
23%Atlanta
Eagle safe pickPortland Timbers or Draw
-336

Quick answer

Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC is Portland Timbers to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Portland Timbers or Draw at -336.

Prediction
Portland Timbers to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Portland Timbers 2.3, Atlanta United FC 1.4
Best bet
Portland Timbers or Draw at -336
Both teams to score
69%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Portland Timbers or Draw
77% chanceFair price -3362 units

Eagle bold pick

Portland Timbers to win and both score
36% chanceFair price +1821 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Portland Timbers 56%, the draw 21% and Atlanta United FC 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Portland Timbers took 8 points from their last 5 games and Atlanta United FC took 7 from 5. Portland Timbers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Portland Timbers won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Atlanta United FC won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Portland Timbers score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.7. Atlanta United FC score 1.2 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Portland Timbers games and 13 of Atlanta United FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Portland Timbers or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC: Portland Timbers are favourites

The big picture

Portland Timbers host Atlanta United FC in the MLS on Sat 19 Sept, 22:30 at Providence Park. Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC is Portland Timbers to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Portland Timbers or Draw at -336.

Portland Timbers form

Portland Timbers have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Atlanta United FC form

Atlanta United FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Portland Timbers to score about 2.3 goals and Atlanta United FC about 1.4. That points to Portland Timbers to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Portland Timbers or Draw at -336. Our bold bet is Portland Timbers to win and both score at +182.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PortlandAtlanta
Games played2020
Wins85
Draws54
Losses711
Goals scored4024
Goals conceded3435
Scored per game2.01.2
Conceded per game1.71.8
Home record6W 3D 2L3W 1D 6L
Away record2W 2D 5L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets5%5%
Both teams scored80%70%
Over 2.5 goals75%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%-827
Over 2.5 goals72%-259
Over 3.5 goals51%-106
Both teams to score69%-224
Portland Timbers or Draw77%-336
Atlanta United FC or Draw44%+129
Portland Timbers to win and Over 2.545%+122
Atlanta United FC to win and Over 2.518%+470
Portland Timbers clean sheet24%+322
Atlanta United FC clean sheet10%+898

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.0%
1-18.3%
3-16.9%
2-26.5%
2-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC?

Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC is Portland Timbers to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Portland Timbers or Draw at -336.

What is the score prediction for Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect Portland Timbers to score 2.3 goals and Atlanta United FC 1.4.

Will both teams score in Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC?

Both teams to score has a 69% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Portland Timbers last 20 games and 14 of Atlanta United FC last 20.

How are Portland Timbers playing?

Portland Timbers have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Atlanta United FC playing?

Atlanta United FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC?

Portland Timbers or Draw at -336, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.