Predictions › United Kingdom › Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers

ChampionshipSat 19 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers prediction

Fratton Park

PortsmouthHome

1.12 : 1.00

expected goals

Blackburn RoversAway

37%Portsmouth

31%Draw

31%Blackburn

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers is Portsmouth to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/5.

Prediction: Portsmouth to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Portsmouth 1.1, Blackburn Rovers 1.0
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1/5
Both teams to score: 44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1/52 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Portsmouth 37%, the draw 31% and Blackburn Rovers 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Portsmouth took 6 points from their last 5 games and Blackburn Rovers took 1 from 5. Portsmouth come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Portsmouth won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Blackburn Rovers won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Portsmouth score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.7. Blackburn Rovers score 1.0 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Portsmouth games and 11 of Blackburn Rovers games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Portsmouth won 1 and Blackburn Rovers won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Blackburn Rovers 1, Portsmouth 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers: Portsmouth shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Portsmouth host Blackburn Rovers in the Championship on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 at Fratton Park. Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers is Portsmouth to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/5.

Portsmouth form

Portsmouth have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Blackburn Rovers form

Blackburn Rovers have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Portsmouth won 1, Blackburn Rovers won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Blackburn Rovers 1, Portsmouth 1.

Our call

We expect Portsmouth to score about 1.1 goals and Blackburn Rovers about 1.0. That points to Portsmouth to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/5. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Portsmouth	Blackburn
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	5
Draws	4	7
Losses	10	8
Goals scored	24	20
Goals conceded	34	25
Scored per game	1.2	1.0
Conceded per game	1.7	1.3
Home record	3W 2D 5L	1W 4D 4L
Away record	3W 2D 5L	4W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Both teams scored	65%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	64%	4/7
Over 2.5 goals	36%	9/5
Over 3.5 goals	17%	5/1
Both teams to score	44%	5/4
Portsmouth or Draw	69%	4/9
Blackburn Rovers or Draw	63%	8/13
Portsmouth to win and Over 2.5	17%	5/1
Blackburn Rovers to win and Over 2.5	14%	6/1
Portsmouth clean sheet	37%	7/4
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet	32%	85/40

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%

0-012.7%

1-012.6%

0-111.1%

2-17.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers?

Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers is Portsmouth to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-0. We expect Portsmouth to score 1.1 goals and Blackburn Rovers 1.0.

Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Portsmouth last 20 games and 13 of Blackburn Rovers last 20.

How are Portsmouth playing?

How are Blackburn Rovers playing?

What happened when Portsmouth and Blackburn Rovers last met?

It ended Blackburn Rovers 1, Portsmouth 1. In the last 2 meetings Portsmouth won 1 and Blackburn Rovers won 0.

What is the best bet for Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/5, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.