Predictions › United Kingdom › Preston North End vs Lincoln City

ChampionshipSat 12 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Preston North End vs Lincoln City prediction

Deepdale

Preston North EndHome

1.42 : 1.27

expected goals

Lincoln CityAway

40%Preston

27%Draw

33%Lincoln City

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Preston North End vs Lincoln City is Preston North End to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction: Preston North End to win
Chance: 40%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Preston North End 1.4, Lincoln City 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1/32 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Lincoln City to win

33% chancePrice 2/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Preston North End 40%, the draw 27% and Lincoln City 33%. The bookmakers agree and make Preston North End the favourite at 11/8.
2
Recent form
Preston North End took 3 points from their last 5 games and Lincoln City took 8 from 5. Lincoln City come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Preston North End won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Lincoln City won 8 of their last 12 on the road.
4
Goals
Preston North End score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.0. Lincoln City score 1.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Preston North End games and 12 of Lincoln City games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Preston North End vs Lincoln City: Preston North End shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Preston North End host Lincoln City in the Championship on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 at Deepdale. Our prediction for Preston North End vs Lincoln City is Preston North End to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Preston North End form

Preston North End have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Lincoln City form

Lincoln City have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Preston North End to score about 1.4 goals and Lincoln City about 1.3. That points to Preston North End to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Lincoln City to win at 2/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Preston	Lincoln City
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	13
Draws	3	4
Losses	13	3
Goals scored	21	36
Goals conceded	41	22
Scored per game	1.1	1.8
Conceded per game	2.0	1.1
Home record	2W 2D 7L	5W 2D 1L
Away record	2W 1D 6L	8W 2D 2L
Clean sheets	0%	40%
Both teams scored	70%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Preston North End to win	40%	6/4	11/8	-6.5%
A Draw	27%	13/5	5/2	-4.7%
Lincoln City to win	33%	2/1	2/1	-1.1%
Over 2.5 goals	51%	Evens	5/6	-5.5%
Under 2.5 goals	49%	Evens	10/11	-5.5%
Preston North End -0.5	41%	7/5	6/5	-9.2%
Lincoln City +0.5	59%	8/11	4/7	-6.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	76%	1/3
Over 2.5 goals	51%	Evens
Over 3.5 goals	29%	5/2
Both teams to score	55%	4/5
Preston North End or Draw	67%	1/2
Lincoln City or Draw	60%	4/6
Preston North End to win and Over 2.5	24%	3/1
Lincoln City to win and Over 2.5	20%	4/1
Preston North End clean sheet	28%	13/5
Lincoln City clean sheet	24%	3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%

1-08.9%

2-18.7%

0-17.9%

1-27.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Preston North End vs Lincoln City?

Our prediction for Preston North End vs Lincoln City is Preston North End to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Preston North End vs Lincoln City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Preston North End to score 1.4 goals and Lincoln City 1.3.

Will both teams score in Preston North End vs Lincoln City?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Preston North End last 20 games and 11 of Lincoln City last 20.

How are Preston North End playing?

How are Lincoln City playing?

What is the best bet for Preston North End vs Lincoln City?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.