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Predictions › Liga MX › Puebla vs Atlante
Liga MXSat 19 Sept, 01:00 UTC

Puebla vs Atlante prediction

Estadio Cuauhtémoc

PueblaHome
1.49 : 1.45
expected goals
AtlanteAway
38%Puebla
26%Draw
36%Atlante
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Puebla vs Atlante is Puebla to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Puebla to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Puebla 1.5, Atlante 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
12% chanceFair price 8.261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Puebla 38%, the draw 26% and Atlante 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Puebla took 7 points from their last 5 games and Atlante took 6 from 5. Puebla come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Puebla won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Atlante won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Puebla score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.6. Atlante score 1.0 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Puebla games and 2 of Atlante games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Puebla vs Atlante: Puebla shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Puebla host Atlante in the Liga MX on Sat 19 Sept, 01:00 at Estadio Cuauhtémoc. Our prediction for Puebla vs Atlante is Puebla to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Puebla form

Puebla have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Atlante form

Atlante have 1 win, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 7 games, with 7 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Puebla to score about 1.5 goals and Atlante about 1.4. That points to Puebla to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.26.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PueblaAtlante
Games played207
Wins51
Draws54
Losses102
Goals scored207
Goals conceded329
Scored per game1.01.0
Conceded per game1.61.3
Home record2W 4D 4L0W 3D 0L
Away record3W 1D 6L1W 1D 2L
Clean sheets25%14%
Both teams scored55%71%
Over 2.5 goals55%29%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals56%1.77
Over 3.5 goals34%2.94
Both teams to score60%1.67
Puebla or Draw64%1.56
Atlante or Draw62%1.61
Puebla to win and Over 2.525%4.01
Atlante to win and Over 2.524%4.24
Puebla clean sheet23%4.26
Atlante clean sheet22%4.45

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
2-18.5%
1-28.3%
1-07.2%
0-17.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Puebla vs Atlante?

Our prediction for Puebla vs Atlante is Puebla to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Puebla vs Atlante?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Puebla to score 1.5 goals and Atlante 1.4.

Will both teams score in Puebla vs Atlante?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Puebla last 20 games and 5 of Atlante last 7.

How are Puebla playing?

Puebla have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Atlante playing?

Atlante have 1 win, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 7 games, with 7 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Puebla vs Atlante?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.