PredictionsUnited KingdomQueens Park Rangers vs Preston North End
ChampionshipSat 19 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End prediction

MATRADE Loftus Road

Queens Park RangersHome
1.53 : 1.30
expected goals
Preston North EndAway
42%QPR
26%Draw
32%Preston
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End is Queens Park Rangers to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Prediction
Queens Park Rangers to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Queens Park Rangers 1.5, Preston North End 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/7
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 2/72 units

Eagle bold pick

Queens Park Rangers to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 11/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Queens Park Rangers 42%, the draw 26% and Preston North End 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Queens Park Rangers took 8 points from their last 5 games and Preston North End took 3 from 5. Queens Park Rangers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Queens Park Rangers won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Preston North End won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Queens Park Rangers score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Preston North End score 1.1 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Queens Park Rangers games and 14 of Preston North End games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Queens Park Rangers won 0 and Preston North End won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Preston North End 1, Queens Park Rangers 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End: Queens Park Rangers shade it

The big picture

Queens Park Rangers host Preston North End in the Championship on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 at MATRADE Loftus Road. Our prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End is Queens Park Rangers to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Queens Park Rangers form

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Preston North End form

Preston North End have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Queens Park Rangers won 0, Preston North End won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Preston North End 1, Queens Park Rangers 1.

Our call

We expect Queens Park Rangers to score about 1.5 goals and Preston North End about 1.3. That points to Queens Park Rangers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7. Our bold bet is Queens Park Rangers to win and Over 2.5 at 11/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

QPRPreston
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws53
Losses913
Goals scored2321
Goals conceded3141
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.62.0
Home record3W 3D 5L2W 2D 7L
Away record3W 2D 4L2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets15%0%
Both teams scored50%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%2/7
Over 2.5 goals54%5/6
Over 3.5 goals31%11/5
Both teams to score58%8/11
Queens Park Rangers or Draw68%4/9
Preston North End or Draw58%8/11
Queens Park Rangers to win and Over 2.527%11/4
Preston North End to win and Over 2.520%4/1
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet27%13/5
Preston North End clean sheet22%7/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
2-19.0%
1-08.4%
1-27.6%
0-17.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End?

Our prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End is Queens Park Rangers to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Queens Park Rangers to score 1.5 goals and Preston North End 1.3.

Will both teams score in Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Queens Park Rangers last 20 games and 14 of Preston North End last 20.

How are Queens Park Rangers playing?

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Preston North End playing?

Preston North End have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Queens Park Rangers and Preston North End last met?

It ended Preston North End 1, Queens Park Rangers 1. In the last 1 meeting Queens Park Rangers won 0 and Preston North End won 0.

What is the best bet for Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/7, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.