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Predictions › Liga MX › Querétaro vs León
Liga MXMon 21 Sept, 02:00 UTC

Querétaro vs León prediction

Estadio Corregidora

QuerétaroHome
1.62 : 0.90
expected goals
LeónAway
54%Queretaro
26%Draw
20%León
Eagle safe pickQuerétaro or Draw
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Querétaro vs León is Querétaro to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Querétaro or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction
Querétaro to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Querétaro 1.6, León 0.9
Best bet
Querétaro or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Querétaro or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Querétaro to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Querétaro 54%, the draw 26% and León 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Querétaro took 10 points from their last 5 games and León took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Querétaro won 4 of their last 11 games at home. León won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Querétaro score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. León score 1.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Querétaro games and 12 of León games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Querétaro won 1 and León won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Querétaro 2, León 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Querétaro or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Querétaro vs León: Querétaro are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Querétaro host León in the Liga MX on Mon 21 Sept, 02:00 at Estadio Corregidora. Our prediction for Querétaro vs León is Querétaro to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Querétaro or Draw at 1.25.

Querétaro form

Querétaro have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

León form

León have 9 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Querétaro won 1, León won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Querétaro 2, León 0.

Our call

We expect Querétaro to score about 1.6 goals and León about 0.9. That points to Querétaro to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Querétaro or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is Querétaro to win and Over 2.5 at 3.24.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

QueretaroLeón
Games played2020
Wins79
Draws81
Losses510
Goals scored2326
Goals conceded2335
Scored per game1.11.3
Conceded per game1.11.8
Home record4W 4D 3L6W 0D 3L
Away record3W 4D 2L3W 1D 7L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.17
Over 3.5 goals25%4.05
Both teams to score48%2.07
Querétaro or Draw80%1.25
León or Draw46%2.16
Querétaro to win and Over 2.531%3.24
León to win and Over 2.510%9.73
Querétaro clean sheet41%2.45
León clean sheet20%5.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-012.4%
2-010.6%
2-19.5%
0-08.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Querétaro vs León?

Our prediction for Querétaro vs León is Querétaro to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Querétaro or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Querétaro vs León?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Querétaro to score 1.6 goals and León 0.9.

Will both teams score in Querétaro vs León?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Querétaro last 20 games and 11 of León last 20.

How are Querétaro playing?

Querétaro have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

How are León playing?

León have 9 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Querétaro and León last met?

It ended Querétaro 2, León 0. In the last 1 meeting Querétaro won 1 and León won 0.

What is the best bet for Querétaro vs León?

Querétaro or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.