Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Racing Club vs Sarmiento (Junín)

Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 19 Sept, 00:15 UTC

Racing Club vs Sarmiento (Junín) prediction

Presidente Perón (Cilindro de Avellaneda)

Racing ClubHome

1.36 : 1.18

expected goals

Sarmiento (Junín)Away

40%Racing

28%Draw

32%Sarmiento (J)

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Racing Club vs Sarmiento (Junín) is Racing Club to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction: Racing Club to win
Chance: 40%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Racing Club 1.4, Sarmiento (Junín) 1.2
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score: 52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.331 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Racing Club 40%, the draw 28% and Sarmiento (Junín) 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Racing Club took 1 point from their last 5 games and Sarmiento (Junín) took 12 from 5. Sarmiento (Junín) come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Racing Club won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Sarmiento (Junín) won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Racing Club score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.1. Sarmiento (Junín) score 1.2 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Racing Club games and 10 of Sarmiento (Junín) games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Racing Club won 0 and Sarmiento (Junín) won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Sarmiento (Junín) 0, Racing Club 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Racing Club vs Sarmiento (Junín): Racing Club shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Racing Club host Sarmiento (Junín) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 19 Sept, 00:15 at Presidente Perón (Cilindro de Avellaneda). Our prediction for Racing Club vs Sarmiento (Junín) is Racing Club to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Racing Club form

Racing Club have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Sarmiento (Junín) form

Sarmiento (Junín) have 9 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Racing Club won 0, Sarmiento (Junín) won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Sarmiento (Junín) 0, Racing Club 0.

Our call

We expect Racing Club to score about 1.4 goals and Sarmiento (Junín) about 1.2. That points to Racing Club to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.45.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Racing	Sarmiento (J)
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	9
Draws	7	1
Losses	8	10
Goals scored	19	24
Goals conceded	22	28
Scored per game	0.9	1.2
Conceded per game	1.1	1.4
Home record	2W 4D 4L	6W 1D 3L
Away record	3W 3D 4L	3W 0D 7L
Clean sheets	30%	35%
Both teams scored	55%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	73%	1.37
Over 2.5 goals	47%	2.15
Over 3.5 goals	25%	3.99
Both teams to score	52%	1.92
Racing Club or Draw	68%	1.46
Sarmiento (Junín) or Draw	60%	1.67
Racing Club to win and Over 2.5	23%	4.35
Sarmiento (Junín) to win and Over 2.5	18%	5.69
Racing Club clean sheet	31%	3.25
Sarmiento (Junín) clean sheet	26%	3.90

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%

1-010.0%

0-08.7%

2-18.6%

0-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Racing Club vs Sarmiento (Junín)?

Our prediction for Racing Club vs Sarmiento (Junín) is Racing Club to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Racing Club vs Sarmiento (Junín)?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Racing Club to score 1.4 goals and Sarmiento (Junín) 1.2.

Will both teams score in Racing Club vs Sarmiento (Junín)?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Racing Club last 20 games and 9 of Sarmiento (Junín) last 20.

How are Racing Club playing?

How are Sarmiento (Junín) playing?

What happened when Racing Club and Sarmiento (Junín) last met?

It ended Sarmiento (Junín) 0, Racing Club 0. In the last 1 meeting Racing Club won 0 and Sarmiento (Junín) won 0.

What is the best bet for Racing Club vs Sarmiento (Junín)?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.