Predictions › Belgian Pro League › Racing Genk vs KAA Gent

Belgian Pro LeagueSun 13 Sept, 14:00 UTC

Racing Genk vs KAA Gent prediction

Cegeka Arena

Racing GenkHome

1.63 : 1.14

expected goals

KAA GentAway

48%Genk

26%Draw

26%KAA Gent

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Racing Genk vs KAA Gent is Racing Genk to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction: Racing Genk to win
Chance: 48%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Racing Genk 1.6, KAA Gent 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Racing Genk to win and Over 2.5

30% chanceFair price 3.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Racing Genk 48%, the draw 26% and KAA Gent 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Racing Genk the favourite at 2.00.
2
Recent form
Racing Genk took 8 points from their last 5 games and KAA Gent took 15 from 5. KAA Gent come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Racing Genk won 5 of their last 9 games at home. KAA Gent won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Racing Genk score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. KAA Gent score 1.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Racing Genk games and 8 of KAA Gent games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings, Racing Genk won 1 and KAA Gent won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended KAA Gent 1, Racing Genk 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Racing Genk vs KAA Gent: Racing Genk are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Racing Genk host KAA Gent in the Belgian Pro League on Sun 13 Sept, 14:00 at Cegeka Arena. Our prediction for Racing Genk vs KAA Gent is Racing Genk to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Racing Genk form

Racing Genk have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, L, newest first.

KAA Gent form

KAA Gent have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Racing Genk won 1, KAA Gent won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished KAA Gent 1, Racing Genk 1.

Our call

We expect Racing Genk to score about 1.6 goals and KAA Gent about 1.1. That points to Racing Genk to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Racing Genk to win and Over 2.5 at 3.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Genk	KAA Gent
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	8
Draws	9	7
Losses	3	5
Goals scored	32	23
Goals conceded	25	22
Scored per game	1.6	1.1
Conceded per game	1.3	1.1
Home record	5W 4D 0L	5W 5D 1L
Away record	3W 5D 3L	3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets	45%	35%
Both teams scored	50%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Racing Genk to win	48%	2.08	2.00	-3.8%
A Draw	26%	3.85	3.35	-13.0%
KAA Gent to win	26%	3.85	3.60	-6.6%
Over 2.5 goals	53%	1.90	1.74	-8.2%
Under 2.5 goals	47%	2.11	1.95	-7.7%
Racing Genk -0.5	47%	2.11	1.95	-7.4%
KAA Gent +0.5	53%	1.90	1.74	-8.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	77%	1.30
Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	30%	3.31
Both teams to score	55%	1.80
Racing Genk or Draw	74%	1.35
KAA Gent or Draw	52%	1.93
Racing Genk to win and Over 2.5	30%	3.30
KAA Gent to win and Over 2.5	15%	6.47
Racing Genk clean sheet	32%	3.13
KAA Gent clean sheet	20%	5.11

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%

1-09.5%

2-19.5%

2-08.3%

0-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Racing Genk vs KAA Gent?

Our prediction for Racing Genk vs KAA Gent is Racing Genk to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Racing Genk vs KAA Gent?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Racing Genk to score 1.6 goals and KAA Gent 1.1.

Will both teams score in Racing Genk vs KAA Gent?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Racing Genk last 20 games and 9 of KAA Gent last 20.

How are Racing Genk playing?

How are KAA Gent playing?

What happened when Racing Genk and KAA Gent last met?

It ended KAA Gent 1, Racing Genk 1. In the last 3 meetings Racing Genk won 1 and KAA Gent won 0.

What is the best bet for Racing Genk vs KAA Gent?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.