Predictions › LaLiga › Racing Santander vs Alavés
Racing Santander vs Alavés prediction
Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 Kenya time, El Sardineros
Racing Santander1.51 - 1.40
expected goals
AlavésRacing 39%Draw 26%Alavés 35%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Alavés +0.5
⚡
Bold pick
Racing Santander to win and Over 2.5
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander to win | 39% | 2.54 | 2.45 | -3.5% |
| A Draw | 26% | 3.84 | 3.60 | -6.2% |
| Alavés to win | 35% | 2.90 | 2.75 | -5.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | 1.71 | -4.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 | 2.15 | -4.6% |
| Racing Santander -0.5 | 39% | 2.54 | 2.35 | -7.4% |
| Alavés +0.5 | 61% | 1.65 | 1.53 | -7.5% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.01 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 1.68 |
| Racing Santander or Draw | 65% | 1.53 |
| Alavés or Draw | 61% | 1.65 |
| Racing Santander to win and Over 2.5 | 26% | 3.90 |
| Alavés to win and Over 2.5 | 22% | 4.49 |
| Racing Santander clean sheet | 25% | 4.06 |
| Alavés clean sheet | 22% | 4.53 |
Most likely scores
1-112.2%
2-18.7%
1-28.1%
1-07.5%
0-16.9%
Questions people ask
Who will win Racing Santander vs Alavés?
Our model gives Racing Santander a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Alavés 35%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Alavés?
We expect about 2.9 goals (Racing Santander 1.51, Alavés 1.40). Over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance.
Will both teams score in Racing Santander vs Alavés?
Both teams to score has a 59% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 12.2% chance, followed by 2-1 and 1-2.