Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol prediction

Tue 15 Sept, 17:00 UTC, Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Rayo Vallecano

1.57 - 1.05

expected goals

Espanyol

Rayo 49%Draw 27%Espanyol 25%

Our three picks

✓

Rayo Vallecano or Draw

75% chanceFair price 1.332 units

⚡

Rayo Vallecano to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 3.461 unit

No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.

Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Rayo Vallecano to win	49%	2.06	2.00	-2.7%
A Draw	27%	3.74	3.45	-7.8%
Espanyol to win	25%	4.06	3.65	-10.0%
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.06	1.95	-5.3%
Under 2.5 goals	51%	1.94	1.83	-5.6%
Rayo Vallecano -0.5	49%	2.06	1.91	-7.1%
Espanyol +0.5	51%	1.95	1.74	-10.6%

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	74%	1.35
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.06
Over 3.5 goals	27%	3.74
Both teams to score	52%	1.92
Rayo Vallecano or Draw	75%	1.33
Espanyol or Draw	51%	1.95
Rayo Vallecano to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.46
Espanyol to win and Over 2.5	14%	7.31
Rayo Vallecano clean sheet	35%	2.85
Espanyol clean sheet	21%	4.79

1-112.7%

1-010.8%

2-19.4%

2-09.0%

0-08.0%

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol?

Our model gives Rayo Vallecano a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Espanyol 25%.

How many goals will there be in Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol?

We expect about 2.6 goals (Rayo Vallecano 1.57, Espanyol 1.05). Over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance.

Will both teams score in Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance according to our model.

What is the most likely score?

1-1, with a 12.7% chance, followed by 1-0 and 2-1.