Predictions › United Kingdom › Reading vs Brentford

Carabao CupTue 15 Sept, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Reading vs Brentford prediction

Madejski Stadium

ReadingHome

1.07 : 2.54

expected goals

BrentfordAway

14%Reading

18%Draw

69%Brentford

Eagle safe pickBrentford draw no bet

1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Reading vs Brentford is Brentford to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Brentford draw no bet at 1/5.

Prediction: Brentford to win
Chance: 69%
Most likely score: 1-2
Expected goals: Reading 1.1, Brentford 2.5
Best bet: Brentford draw no bet at 1/5
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Brentford draw no bet

84% chanceFair price 1/52 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Brentford to win and both score

38% chanceFair price 13/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Reading 14%, the draw 18% and Brentford 69%. The bookmakers agree and make Brentford the favourite at 3/10.
2
Recent form
Reading took 10 points from their last 5 games and Brentford took 9 from 5. Reading come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Reading won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Brentford won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Reading score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Brentford score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Reading games and 10 of Brentford games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Brentford draw no bet has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Reading vs Brentford: Brentford are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Reading host Brentford in the Carabao Cup on Tue 15 Sept, 20:00 at Madejski Stadium. Our prediction for Reading vs Brentford is Brentford to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Brentford draw no bet at 1/5.

Reading form

Reading have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Brentford form

Brentford have 6 wins, 10 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Reading to score about 1.1 goals and Brentford about 2.5. That points to Brentford to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Brentford draw no bet at 1/5. Our bold bet is Brentford to win and both score at 13/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Reading	Brentford
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	6
Draws	6	10
Losses	7	4
Goals scored	32	31
Goals conceded	24	25
Scored per game	1.6	1.6
Conceded per game	1.2	1.3
Home record	4W 1D 4L	2W 6D 2L
Away record	3W 5D 3L	4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Both teams scored	60%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Reading to win	14%	13/2	6/1	-5.1%
A Draw	18%	9/2	4/1	-7.0%
Brentford to win	69%	4/9	3/10	-9.8%
Over 3.5 goals	48%	21/20	10/11	-5.8%
Under 3.5 goals	52%	10/11	4/5	-6.8%
Reading +1.5	49%	21/20	10/11	-5.7%
Brentford -1.5	51%	Evens	4/5	-10.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	88%	2/15
Over 2.5 goals	70%	4/9
Over 3.5 goals	49%	21/20
Both teams to score	61%	8/13
Reading or Draw	31%	11/5
Brentford or Draw	86%	2/13
Reading to win and Over 2.5	10%	9/1
Brentford to win and Over 2.5	54%	5/6
Reading clean sheet	8%	12/1
Brentford clean sheet	34%	15/8

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.3%

0-28.7%

1-37.9%

1-17.8%

0-37.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Reading vs Brentford?

Our prediction for Reading vs Brentford is Brentford to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Brentford draw no bet at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Reading vs Brentford?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-3. We expect Reading to score 1.1 goals and Brentford 2.5.

Will both teams score in Reading vs Brentford?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Reading last 20 games and 11 of Brentford last 20.

How are Reading playing?

How are Brentford playing?

What is the best bet for Reading vs Brentford?

Brentford draw no bet at 1/5, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.