PredictionsLaLigaReal Betis vs Getafe
LaLigaThu 17 Sept, 17:00 UTC

Real Betis vs Getafe prediction

Estadio Benito Villamarín

Real BetisHome
1.42 : 0.74
expected goals
GetafeAway
52%Betis
29%Draw
19%Getafe
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.59

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Betis vs Getafe is Real Betis to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.59.

Prediction
Real Betis to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Real Betis 1.4, Getafe 0.7
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.59
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
60% chancePrice 1.591 unit

Eagle bold pick

Real Betis to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Real Betis 52%, the draw 29% and Getafe 19%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Betis the favourite at 1.87.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Real Betis took 12 points from their last 5 games and Getafe took 7 from 5. Real Betis come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Real Betis won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Getafe won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Real Betis score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Getafe score 0.9 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Real Betis games and 4 of Getafe games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Real Betis won 1 and Getafe won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Getafe 2, Real Betis 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 60% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Real Betis vs Getafe: Real Betis are favourites

The big picture

Real Betis host Getafe in the LaLiga on Thu 17 Sept, 17:00 at Estadio Benito Villamarín. Our prediction for Real Betis vs Getafe is Real Betis to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.59.

Real Betis form

Real Betis have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Getafe form

Getafe have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Real Betis won 1, Getafe won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Getafe 2, Real Betis 0.

Our call

We expect Real Betis to score about 1.4 goals and Getafe about 0.7. That points to Real Betis to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.59. Our bold bet is Real Betis to win and Over 2.5 at 3.95.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BetisGetafe
Games played2020
Wins910
Draws62
Losses58
Goals scored3218
Goals conceded2716
Scored per game1.60.9
Conceded per game1.40.8
Home record6W 3D 1L6W 1D 3L
Away record3W 3D 4L4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets30%40%
Both teams scored65%20%
Over 2.5 goals55%20%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Real Betis to win52%1.911.87-1.9%
A Draw29%3.493.40-2.6%
Getafe to win19%5.304.40-17.0%
Over 2.5 goals40%2.522.30-8.8%
Under 2.5 goals60%1.661.59-4.1%
Real Betis -0.552%1.931.77-8.5%
Getafe +0.548%2.071.87-9.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals64%1.55
Over 2.5 goals37%2.72
Over 3.5 goals17%5.75
Both teams to score41%2.47
Real Betis or Draw81%1.23
Getafe or Draw48%2.10
Real Betis to win and Over 2.525%3.95
Getafe to win and Over 2.58%12.67
Real Betis clean sheet48%2.10
Getafe clean sheet24%4.14

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-015.6%
1-112.9%
0-012.2%
2-011.6%
2-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Betis vs Getafe?

Our prediction for Real Betis vs Getafe is Real Betis to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.59.

What is the score prediction for Real Betis vs Getafe?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Real Betis to score 1.4 goals and Getafe 0.7.

Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Getafe?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Real Betis last 20 games and 4 of Getafe last 20.

How are Real Betis playing?

Real Betis have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Getafe playing?

Getafe have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Real Betis and Getafe last met?

It ended Getafe 2, Real Betis 0. In the last 2 meetings Real Betis won 1 and Getafe won 1.

What is the best bet for Real Betis vs Getafe?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.59, with a 60% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.