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Predictions › United States › Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC
MLSSat 12 Sept, 21:30 United States time

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC prediction

America First Field

Real Salt LakeHome
1.70 : 1.28
expected goals
New York City FCAway
47%Salt Lake
25%Draw
28%NYCFC
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-413

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC is Real Salt Lake to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -413.

Prediction
Real Salt Lake to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Real Salt Lake 1.7, New York City FC 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -413
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price -4132 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

New York City FC to win
28% chancePrice +255+0.2% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Real Salt Lake 47%, the draw 25% and New York City FC 28%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Salt Lake the favourite at -105.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Real Salt Lake took 1 point from their last 5 games and New York City FC took 3 from 5. New York City FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Real Salt Lake won 6 of their last 10 games at home. New York City FC won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Real Salt Lake score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. New York City FC score 1.3 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Real Salt Lake games and 10 of New York City FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC: Real Salt Lake are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Real Salt Lake host New York City FC in the MLS on Sat 12 Sept, 21:30 at America First Field. Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC is Real Salt Lake to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -413.

Real Salt Lake form

Real Salt Lake have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

New York City FC form

New York City FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Real Salt Lake to score about 1.7 goals and New York City FC about 1.3. That points to Real Salt Lake to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -413. Our bold bet is New York City FC to win at +255.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Salt LakeNYCFC
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws57
Losses99
Goals scored3226
Goals conceded3330
Scored per game1.61.3
Conceded per game1.61.5
Home record6W 2D 2L2W 4D 5L
Away record0W 3D 7L2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets10%15%
Both teams scored80%70%
Over 2.5 goals70%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Real Salt Lake to win47%+114-105-8.9%
A Draw25%+298+250-12.1%
New York City FC to win28%+254+255+0.2%
Over 2.5 goals58%-140-165-6.2%
Under 2.5 goals42%+140+130-4.3%
Real Salt Lake -0.548%+108-110-8.4%
New York City FC +0.552%-108-125-6.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%-413
Over 2.5 goals57%-134
Over 3.5 goals35%+187
Both teams to score60%-148
Real Salt Lake or Draw72%-254
New York City FC or Draw53%-114
Real Salt Lake to win and Over 2.531%+219
New York City FC to win and Over 2.518%+448
Real Salt Lake clean sheet28%+260
New York City FC clean sheet18%+448

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
2-19.4%
1-08.0%
2-07.3%
1-27.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?

Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC is Real Salt Lake to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -413.

What is the score prediction for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Real Salt Lake to score 1.7 goals and New York City FC 1.3.

Will both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Real Salt Lake last 20 games and 14 of New York City FC last 20.

How are Real Salt Lake playing?

Real Salt Lake have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are New York City FC playing?

New York City FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -413, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.