PredictionsUnited StatesReal Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps
MLSSat 19 Sept, 21:30 United States time

Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction

America First Field

Real Salt LakeHome
1.54 : 1.91
expected goals
Vancouver WhitecapsAway
31%Salt Lake
23%Draw
46%Vancouver
Eagle safe pickVancouver Whitecaps or Draw
-226

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -226.

Prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Real Salt Lake 1.5, Vancouver Whitecaps 1.9
Best bet
Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -226
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw
69% chanceFair price -2261 unit

Eagle bold pick

Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price +1871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Real Salt Lake 31%, the draw 23% and Vancouver Whitecaps 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Real Salt Lake took 1 point from their last 5 games and Vancouver Whitecaps took 9 from 5. Vancouver Whitecaps come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Real Salt Lake won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Vancouver Whitecaps won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Real Salt Lake score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Vancouver Whitecaps score 2.2 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Real Salt Lake games and 11 of Vancouver Whitecaps games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Real Salt Lake won 0 and Vancouver Whitecaps won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Vancouver Whitecaps 1, Real Salt Lake 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw has a 69% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps: Vancouver Whitecaps are favourites

The big picture

Real Salt Lake host Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS on Sat 19 Sept, 21:30 at America First Field. Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -226.

Real Salt Lake form

Real Salt Lake have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Vancouver Whitecaps form

Vancouver Whitecaps have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Real Salt Lake won 0, Vancouver Whitecaps won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Vancouver Whitecaps 1, Real Salt Lake 0.

Our call

We expect Real Salt Lake to score about 1.5 goals and Vancouver Whitecaps about 1.9. That points to Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -226. Our bold bet is Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.5 at +187.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Salt LakeVancouver
Games played2020
Wins611
Draws54
Losses95
Goals scored3244
Goals conceded3320
Scored per game1.62.2
Conceded per game1.61.0
Home record6W 2D 2L7W 1D 3L
Away record0W 3D 7L4W 3D 2L
Clean sheets10%40%
Both teams scored80%45%
Over 2.5 goals70%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%-638
Over 2.5 goals67%-203
Over 3.5 goals45%+121
Both teams to score67%-208
Real Salt Lake or Draw54%-117
Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw69%-226
Real Salt Lake to win and Over 2.523%+342
Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.535%+187
Real Salt Lake clean sheet15%+578
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet21%+366

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.9%
1-28.9%
2-17.2%
2-26.9%
0-25.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -226.

What is the score prediction for Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Real Salt Lake to score 1.5 goals and Vancouver Whitecaps 1.9.

Will both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Real Salt Lake last 20 games and 9 of Vancouver Whitecaps last 20.

How are Real Salt Lake playing?

Real Salt Lake have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Vancouver Whitecaps playing?

Vancouver Whitecaps have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Real Salt Lake and Vancouver Whitecaps last met?

It ended Vancouver Whitecaps 1, Real Salt Lake 0. In the last 1 meeting Real Salt Lake won 0 and Vancouver Whitecaps won 1.

What is the best bet for Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -226, with a 69% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.