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IndiaPredictions › LaLiga › Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid
Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid prediction
Sun 13 Sept, 19:00 UTC, Reale Arena
Real Sociedad1.51 - 1.56
expected goals
Atlético MadridReal Sociedad 36%Draw 25%Atlético 38%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Real Sociedad +0.5
★
Best value
Real Sociedad to win
⚡
Bold pick
Atlético Madrid to win and Over 2.5
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to win | 36% | 2.75 | 2.90 | +5.4% |
| A Draw | 25% | 3.96 | 3.55 | -10.3% |
| Atlético Madrid to win | 38% | 2.61 | 2.35 | -9.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | 1.65 | -2.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.46 | 2.20 | -10.4% |
| Real Sociedad +0.5 | 62% | 1.62 | 1.57 | -3.2% |
| Atlético Madrid -0.5 | 38% | 2.61 | 2.25 | -13.7% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 |
| Both teams to score | 62% | 1.61 |
| Real Sociedad or Draw | 62% | 1.62 |
| Atlético Madrid or Draw | 64% | 1.57 |
| Real Sociedad to win and Over 2.5 | 25% | 4.05 |
| Atlético Madrid to win and Over 2.5 | 26% | 3.82 |
| Real Sociedad clean sheet | 21% | 4.75 |
| Atlético Madrid clean sheet | 22% | 4.54 |
Most likely scores
1-111.6%
1-28.5%
2-18.3%
0-16.6%
2-26.4%
Questions people ask
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid?
Our model gives Real Sociedad a 36% chance, the draw 25% and Atlético Madrid 38%.
How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid?
We expect about 3.1 goals (Real Sociedad 1.51, Atlético Madrid 1.56). Over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance.
Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid?
Both teams to score has a 62% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 11.6% chance, followed by 1-2 and 2-1.