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BrasileiraoSat 19 Sept, 21:30 UTC

Remo vs Santos prediction

Mangueirão

RemoHome

1.43 : 1.67

expected goals

SantosAway

32%Remo

25%Draw

43%Santos

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Remo vs Santos is Santos to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction: Santos to win
Chance: 43%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Remo 1.4, Santos 1.7
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score: 62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Santos to win and Over 2.5

30% chanceFair price 3.371 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Remo 32%, the draw 25% and Santos 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Remo took 2 points from their last 5 games and Santos took 10 from 5. Santos come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Remo won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Santos won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Remo score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.6. Santos score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Remo games and 11 of Santos games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Remo won 0 and Santos won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Santos 2, Remo 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Remo vs Santos: Santos shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Remo host Santos in the Brasileirao on Sat 19 Sept, 21:30 at Mangueirão. Our prediction for Remo vs Santos is Santos to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Remo form

Remo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Santos form

Santos have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Remo won 0, Santos won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Santos 2, Remo 0.

Our call

We expect Remo to score about 1.4 goals and Santos about 1.7. That points to Santos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Santos to win and Over 2.5 at 3.37.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Remo	Santos
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	7
Draws	5	6
Losses	10	7
Goals scored	24	29
Goals conceded	32	28
Scored per game	1.2	1.4
Conceded per game	1.6	1.4
Home record	3W 3D 4L	4W 3D 4L
Away record	2W 2D 6L	3W 3D 3L
Clean sheets	15%	30%
Both teams scored	60%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	60%	1.67
Over 3.5 goals	38%	2.66
Both teams to score	62%	1.60
Remo or Draw	57%	1.75
Santos or Draw	68%	1.47
Remo to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.58
Santos to win and Over 2.5	30%	3.37
Remo clean sheet	19%	5.34
Santos clean sheet	24%	4.17

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%

1-29.0%

2-17.7%

0-16.9%

2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Remo vs Santos?

Our prediction for Remo vs Santos is Santos to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Remo vs Santos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Remo to score 1.4 goals and Santos 1.7.

Will both teams score in Remo vs Santos?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Remo last 20 games and 12 of Santos last 20.

How are Remo playing?

How are Santos playing?

What happened when Remo and Santos last met?

It ended Santos 2, Remo 0. In the last 1 meeting Remo won 0 and Santos won 1.

What is the best bet for Remo vs Santos?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.