Rice Owls vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 44.5 points

74% chanceFair price -2851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Notre Dame Fighting Irish 100% and Rice Owls 0%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 5 of their last 5 and Rice Owls won 2 of their last 5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 7 of their last 8 games at home. Rice Owls won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Notre Dame Fighting Irish score 43.4 points a game and let in 16.4. Rice Owls score 21.3 and let in 32.0. Their recent games average 59.8 and 53.3 points in total, and the market line is 54.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Over 44.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Notre Dame +3.5 wins if Notre Dame win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.