Richmond Spiders vs NC State Wolfpack prediction

The eagle's three picks

Picks are made up to two hours before kick off and then locked, so there are none for this game.

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives NC State Wolfpack 96% and Richmond Spiders 4%. The bookmakers agree and make NC State Wolfpack the favourite at -6667.

2. 2
   Recent form

   NC State Wolfpack won 3 of their last 5 and Richmond Spiders won 0 of their last 1. NC State Wolfpack come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Scoring

   NC State Wolfpack score 28.5 points a game and let in 28.3. Richmond Spiders score 6.0 and let in 41.0. Their recent games average 56.8 and 47.0 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. NC State +3.5 wins if NC State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.