PredictionsBelgian Pro LeagueRoyal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV
Belgian Pro LeagueSat 19 Sept, 16:15 UTC

Royal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV prediction

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Royal Charleroi SCHome
1.55 : 1.53
expected goals
Cercle Brugge KSVAway
38%Royal Charleroi
25%Draw
37%Cercle Brugge
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Royal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV is Royal Charleroi SC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Royal Charleroi SC to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Royal Charleroi SC 1.6, Cercle Brugge KSV 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

Eagle bold pick

Royal Charleroi SC to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Royal Charleroi SC 38%, the draw 25% and Cercle Brugge KSV 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Royal Charleroi SC took 12 points from their last 5 games and Cercle Brugge KSV took 2 from 5. Royal Charleroi SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Royal Charleroi SC won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Cercle Brugge KSV won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Royal Charleroi SC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Cercle Brugge KSV score 1.6 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Royal Charleroi SC games and 15 of Cercle Brugge KSV games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Royal Charleroi SC won 1 and Cercle Brugge KSV won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Royal Charleroi SC 3, Cercle Brugge KSV 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Royal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV: Royal Charleroi SC shade it

The big picture

Royal Charleroi SC host Cercle Brugge KSV in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 19 Sept, 16:15 at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. Our prediction for Royal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV is Royal Charleroi SC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Royal Charleroi SC form

Royal Charleroi SC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Cercle Brugge KSV form

Cercle Brugge KSV have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Royal Charleroi SC won 1, Cercle Brugge KSV won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Royal Charleroi SC 3, Cercle Brugge KSV 4.

Our call

We expect Royal Charleroi SC to score about 1.6 goals and Cercle Brugge KSV about 1.5. That points to Royal Charleroi SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Royal Charleroi SC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Royal CharleroiCercle Brugge
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws35
Losses89
Goals scored2731
Goals conceded2238
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.11.9
Home record4W 1D 5L2W 2D 6L
Away record5W 2D 3L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored50%65%
Over 2.5 goals40%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.68
Over 3.5 goals37%2.69
Both teams to score62%1.60
Royal Charleroi SC or Draw63%1.59
Cercle Brugge KSV or Draw62%1.61
Royal Charleroi SC to win and Over 2.526%3.87
Cercle Brugge KSV to win and Over 2.525%3.96
Royal Charleroi SC clean sheet22%4.64
Cercle Brugge KSV clean sheet21%4.73

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
2-18.4%
1-28.3%
2-26.5%
1-06.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Royal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV?

Our prediction for Royal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV is Royal Charleroi SC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Royal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Royal Charleroi SC to score 1.6 goals and Cercle Brugge KSV 1.5.

Will both teams score in Royal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Royal Charleroi SC last 20 games and 13 of Cercle Brugge KSV last 20.

How are Royal Charleroi SC playing?

Royal Charleroi SC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Cercle Brugge KSV playing?

Cercle Brugge KSV have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Royal Charleroi SC and Cercle Brugge KSV last met?

It ended Royal Charleroi SC 3, Cercle Brugge KSV 4. In the last 2 meetings Royal Charleroi SC won 1 and Cercle Brugge KSV won 1.

What is the best bet for Royal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.