PredictionsSuper LigSamsunspor vs Çorum FK
Super LigSat 12 Sept, 14:00 UTC

Samsunspor vs Çorum FK prediction

Samsun 19 Mayis Stadium

SamsunsporHome
2.01 : 1.30
expected goals
Çorum FKAway
53%Samsunspor
23%Draw
24%Çorum FK
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Çorum FK is Samsunspor to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Samsunspor to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Samsunspor 2.0, Çorum FK 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units

Eagle bold pick

Samsunspor to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.561 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Samsunspor 53%, the draw 23% and Çorum FK 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Samsunspor took 7 points from their last 5 games and Çorum FK took 4 from 4. Samsunspor come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Samsunspor score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Çorum FK score 1.8 and let in 2.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Samsunspor games and 3 of Çorum FK games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Samsunspor vs Çorum FK: Samsunspor are favourites

The big picture

Samsunspor host Çorum FK in the Super Lig on Sat 12 Sept, 14:00 at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadium. Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Çorum FK is Samsunspor to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Samsunspor form

Samsunspor have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Çorum FK form

Çorum FK have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 4 games, with 7 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 2. Their last 4 results read W, L, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Samsunspor to score about 2.0 goals and Çorum FK about 1.3. That points to Samsunspor to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Samsunspor to win and Over 2.5 at 2.56.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SamsunsporÇorum FK
Games played204
Wins101
Draws41
Losses62
Goals scored337
Goals conceded279
Scored per game1.61.8
Conceded per game1.42.3
Home record5W 3D 2L1W 0D 1L
Away record5W 1D 4L0W 1D 1L
Clean sheets35%25%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.56
Over 3.5 goals42%2.37
Both teams to score64%1.57
Samsunspor or Draw76%1.32
Çorum FK or Draw47%2.14
Samsunspor to win and Over 2.539%2.56
Çorum FK to win and Over 2.517%5.96
Samsunspor clean sheet27%3.68
Çorum FK clean sheet13%7.46

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
2-19.6%
2-07.4%
1-06.8%
3-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Samsunspor vs Çorum FK?

Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Çorum FK is Samsunspor to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Samsunspor vs Çorum FK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Samsunspor to score 2.0 goals and Çorum FK 1.3.

Will both teams score in Samsunspor vs Çorum FK?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Samsunspor last 20 games and 2 of Çorum FK last 4.

How are Samsunspor playing?

Samsunspor have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Çorum FK playing?

Çorum FK have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 4 games, with 7 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 2. Their last 4 results read W, L, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Samsunspor vs Çorum FK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.