San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 9.5 runs

71% chanceFair price -2441 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rockies to win

38% chanceFair price +1641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Colorado Rockies 38% and San Diego Padres 62%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Colorado Rockies won 1 of their last 5 and San Diego Padres won 4 of their last 5. San Diego Padres come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Colorado Rockies won 3 of their last 10 games at home. San Diego Padres won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Colorado Rockies score 4.0 runs a game and let in 5.7. San Diego Padres score 4.2 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 9.6 and 7.5 runs in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 5 meetings, Colorado Rockies won 1 and San Diego Padres won 4. The last one ended San Diego Padres 3, Colorado Rockies 1.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Over 9.5 runs has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rockies +3.5 wins if Rockies win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.