San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cardinals +2.5

71% chanceFair price -2461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives St. Louis Cardinals 48% and San Francisco Giants 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   St. Louis Cardinals won 1 of their last 5 and San Francisco Giants won 4 of their last 5. San Francisco Giants come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   St. Louis Cardinals won 2 of their last 6 games at home. San Francisco Giants won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   St. Louis Cardinals score 5.5 runs a game and let in 6.6. San Francisco Giants score 5.2 and let in 5.0. Their recent games average 12.1 and 10.2 runs in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 5 meetings, St. Louis Cardinals won 1 and San Francisco Giants won 4. The last one ended San Francisco Giants 7, St. Louis Cardinals 6.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Cardinals +2.5 has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cardinals +3.5 wins if Cardinals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.