PredictionsUnited StatesSan Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC
MLSSat 19 Sept, 19:30 United States time

San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC prediction

Levi's Stadium

San Jose EarthquakesHome
1.20 : 1.97
expected goals
LAFCAway
22%San Jose
23%Draw
55%LAFC
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-490

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC is LAFC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -490.

Prediction
LAFC to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
San Jose Earthquakes 1.2, LAFC 2.0
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -490
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price -4902 units

Eagle bold pick

LAFC to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price +1571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Jose Earthquakes 22%, the draw 23% and LAFC 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Jose Earthquakes took 5 points from their last 5 games and LAFC took 6 from 5. LAFC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Jose Earthquakes won 2 of their last 8 games at home. LAFC won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    San Jose Earthquakes score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.8. LAFC score 1.6 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of San Jose Earthquakes games and 11 of LAFC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 1 and LAFC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended LAFC 1, San Jose Earthquakes 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC: LAFC are favourites

The big picture

San Jose Earthquakes host LAFC in the MLS on Sat 19 Sept, 19:30 at Levi's Stadium. Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC is LAFC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -490.

San Jose Earthquakes form

San Jose Earthquakes have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

LAFC form

LAFC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. San Jose Earthquakes won 1, LAFC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished LAFC 1, San Jose Earthquakes 4.

Our call

We expect San Jose Earthquakes to score about 1.2 goals and LAFC about 2.0. That points to LAFC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -490. Our bold bet is LAFC to win and Over 2.5 at +157.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

San JoseLAFC
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws56
Losses77
Goals scored3732
Goals conceded3524
Scored per game1.91.6
Conceded per game1.81.2
Home record2W 2D 4L5W 2D 3L
Away record6W 3D 3L2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets15%40%
Both teams scored75%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%-491
Over 2.5 goals61%-159
Over 3.5 goals39%+156
Both teams to score61%-154
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw45%+121
LAFC or Draw78%-349
San Jose Earthquakes to win and Over 2.515%+574
LAFC to win and Over 2.539%+157
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet14%+618
LAFC clean sheet30%+231

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
1-29.8%
0-28.2%
0-17.7%
1-36.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC?

Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC is LAFC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -490.

What is the score prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect San Jose Earthquakes to score 1.2 goals and LAFC 2.0.

Will both teams score in San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of San Jose Earthquakes last 20 games and 10 of LAFC last 20.

How are San Jose Earthquakes playing?

San Jose Earthquakes have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are LAFC playing?

LAFC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when San Jose Earthquakes and LAFC last met?

It ended LAFC 1, San Jose Earthquakes 4. In the last 2 meetings San Jose Earthquakes won 1 and LAFC won 1.

What is the best bet for San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC?

Over 1.5 goals at -490, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.